I did a rollout of problem 10 in this year's Othello Quiz with stronger settings. The top play remains on top, but the difference between the top two plays is significantly smaller than it is in any other Othello Quiz problem that I can remember.
| 1. | Rollout1 | 10/8 6/3 | eq: -0.282 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 46.03% (G:12.10% B:0.80%)
53.97% (G:24.91% B:5.70%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.292...-0.273) - [100.0%]
Duration: 59 minutes 03 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 8/5 7/5 | eq: -0.306 (-0.024) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 45.13% (G:12.57% B:0.69%)
54.87% (G:25.63% B:5.08%) | Conf.: ± 0.008 (-0.314...-0.298) - [0.0%]
Duration: 52 minutes 18 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 13/11 13/10 | eq: -0.329 (-0.047) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.26% (G:11.82% B:0.86%)
55.74% (G:24.16% B:5.37%) | Conf.: ± 0.009 (-0.338...-0.320) - [0.0%]
Duration: 53 minutes 58 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout2 | 13/8 | eq: -0.351 (-0.069) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 44.48% (G:11.72% B:0.80%)
55.52% (G:25.53% B:5.35%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.368...-0.335) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 58 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout2 | 8/5 6/4 | eq: -0.361 (-0.079) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 43.27% (G:10.87% B:1.37%)
56.73% (G:28.83% B:14.72%) | Conf.: ± 0.028 (-0.388...-0.333) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| 6. | Rollout2 | 10/8 9/6 | eq: -0.388 (-0.105) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.59% (G:12.22% B:0.67%)
57.41% (G:19.73% B:3.87%) | Conf.: ± 0.017 (-0.405...-0.370) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 03 seconds |
|
| 7. | Rollout2 | 10/7 6/4 | eq: -0.403 (-0.121) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 41.73% (G:11.58% B:0.78%)
58.27% (G:22.43% B:4.21%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.420...-0.387) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 53 seconds |
|
| 8. | Rollout2 | 9/7 8/5 | eq: -0.411 (-0.128) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.08% (G:11.03% B:0.52%)
57.92% (G:24.41% B:4.36%) | Conf.: ± 0.015 (-0.425...-0.396) - [0.0%]
Duration: 13 minutes 00 second |
|
| 9. | Rollout2 | 10/5 | eq: -0.459 (-0.177) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 42.90% (G:9.86% B:1.16%)
57.10% (G:30.34% B:17.30%) | Conf.: ± 0.028 (-0.486...-0.431) - [0.0%]
Duration: 14 minutes 11 seconds |
|
| 10. | Rollout2 | 10/7 9/7 | eq: -0.527 (-0.245) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.77% (G:10.22% B:0.55%)
61.23% (G:20.96% B:4.38%) | Conf.: ± 0.019 (-0.546...-0.508) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 09 seconds |
|
| 11. | Rollout2 | 13/10 9/7 | eq: -0.528 (-0.246) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 40.33% (G:9.94% B:0.90%)
59.67% (G:25.52% B:11.10%) | Conf.: ± 0.025 (-0.553...-0.503) - [0.0%]
Duration: 12 minutes 52 seconds |
|
| 12. | Rollout2 | 10/7 8/6 | eq: -0.537 (-0.255) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.65% (G:10.69% B:0.71%)
61.35% (G:20.87% B:3.95%) | Conf.: ± 0.016 (-0.553...-0.521) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 27 seconds |
|
| 13. | Rollout2 | 9/4 | eq: -0.564 (-0.282) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 38.77% (G:10.44% B:0.95%)
61.23% (G:22.87% B:7.49%) | Conf.: ± 0.025 (-0.589...-0.539) - [0.0%]
Duration: 11 minutes 13 seconds |
|
| |
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 271828
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
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