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Checker play after an opening cube #1 — 21$-44B-F-C-T-61

Posted By: Igor
Date: Saturday, 28 January 2017, at 6:00 p.m.

You start the game with 21$-44B-F; this is a marginal double:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 184
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:0:0:1:00:0:0:1:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 66.06% (G:25.85% B:2.34%) 65.91% (G:26.08% B:2.49%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 33.94% (G:5.88% B:0.24%) 34.09% (G:5.98% B:0.25%)
Cubeless Equities +0.542 +1.083
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.800 (-0.009)±0.003 (+0.797..+0.803)
Double/Take:+0.809±0.004 (+0.806..+0.813)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.191)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
46656 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 48255426
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 6 hours 02 minutes

Rollout by Igor Erovenko
2013-Feb-25
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10
21$-44B-F-C-ie.xgp
21$-44B-F-C [D 809-9] "<=46

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

So, you turn the cube and now you have a 61 to play:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 184
Unlimited Game
Jacoby
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=ab----E-CB--dCa--c-dB-----:1:-1:1:61:0:0:1:0:10
Blue to play 61

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

How do you play this roll? Also, would your play be the same if you didn't turn the cube?

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