         
 
         
 | | White is Kent Goulding
score: 3
pip: 104 | | 9 point match | pip: 120
score: 4
Blue is Steve Sax |
|
| XGID=--CB-BbB-C-a---A--bbcBc-b-:1:1:1:63:4:3:0:9:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 15/9 5/2 | eq: -0.299 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 31.64% (G:2.32% B:0.06%)
68.36% (G:5.75% B:0.17%) | Conf.: ± 0.005 (-0.305...-0.294) - [100.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 23 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 15/9 7/4 | eq: -0.348 (-0.048) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 30.66% (G:3.11% B:0.09%)
69.34% (G:8.24% B:0.18%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.353...-0.342) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 37 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout1 | 7/4 7/1 | eq: -0.424 (-0.125) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 28.99% (G:3.64% B:0.10%)
71.01% (G:11.74% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.430...-0.418) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| 4. | Rollout1 | 15/12 9/3 | eq: -0.539 (-0.240) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 25.20% (G:2.80% B:0.11%)
74.80% (G:13.64% B:0.26%) | Conf.: ± 0.006 (-0.545...-0.534) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 53 seconds |
|
| 5. | Rollout1 | 21/15 7/4 | eq: -0.609 (-0.310) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 29.87% (G:5.41% B:0.44%)
70.13% (G:31.29% B:0.65%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.616...-0.602) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 39 seconds |
|
| |
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 101
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|
Above is Paul's rollout result for the original (Sax-KG) position.
Below is my rollout result for the variant position, which reveals a swing of .054. Trailing by an additional 8 pips, Blue should volunteer a shot (albeit barely).
Here are tips for counting these positions (and others).
Nack
| | White is Player 2
score: 3
pip: 96 | | 9 point match | pip: 120
score: 4
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=--CB-BbB-C-a---A--b-cBcbb-:1:1:1:63:4:3:0:9:10 |
| Blue to play 63 |
| 1. | Rollout1 | 15/9 7/4 | eq: -0.264 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 34.03% (G:5.08% B:0.19%)
65.97% (G:8.95% B:0.15%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.267...-0.262) - [100.0%]
Duration: 52 minutes 23 seconds |
|
| 2. | Rollout1 | 15/9 5/2 | eq: -0.270 (-0.006) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.44% (G:3.09% B:0.11%)
67.56% (G:5.37% B:0.12%) | Conf.: ± 0.002 (-0.272...-0.268) - [0.0%]
Duration: 45 minutes 32 seconds |
|
| 3. | Rollout2 | 7/4 7/1 | eq: -0.319 (-0.054) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 32.98% (G:4.67% B:0.21%)
67.02% (G:11.38% B:0.16%) | Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.325...-0.312) - [0.0%]
Duration: 5 minutes 53 seconds |
|
| |
1 10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30835476
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 30835476
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
|