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Which point to break? #3 - ROLLOUT

Posted By: Karol Szczerek
Date: Sunday, 16 April 2017, at 8:57 p.m.

In Response To: Which point to break? #3 (Karol Szczerek)

Thanks for all the comments. It seems to me, that the reason why grabbing an anchor and opening the lowest point gets pushed to the top might be the strongest prime vs prime value vs White's broken (but serious) prime, compared to the other plays.

I'm also rolling out a close variant with more reasonable options (our back men on 22&23pts. instead). Be sure to take a peek here tomorrow.

		White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 171 Unlimited Game pip: 124 score: 0 Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBBBBB-----bC-b-c-cbA--A-:1:-1:1:11:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 11

1.	Rollout1	24/21 3/2	eq: +0,003
	Player: Opponent: 52,96% (G:23,79% B:2,50%) 47,04% (G:11,56% B:0,59%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (-0,003...+0,009) - [99,6%] Duration: 23 minutes 14 seconds
2.	Rollout1	24/22 5/4(2)	eq: -0,009 (-0,012)
	Player: Opponent: 52,59% (G:23,53% B:2,86%) 47,41% (G:11,46% B:0,52%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (-0,015...-0,002) - [0,4%] Duration: 23 minutes 07 seconds
3.	Rollout1	24/21 4/3	eq: -0,022 (-0,025)
	Player: Opponent: 52,21% (G:23,09% B:2,61%) 47,79% (G:11,57% B:0,56%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (-0,028...-0,016) - [0,0%] Duration: 23 minutes 36 seconds
4.	Rollout1	24/21 5/4	eq: -0,033 (-0,036)
	Player: Opponent: 51,91% (G:22,60% B:2,54%) 48,09% (G:11,50% B:0,55%) Conf.: ± 0,006 (-0,039...-0,026) - [0,0%] Duration: 22 minutes 35 seconds
5.	Rollout2	24/22 6/5(2)	eq: -0,044 (-0,047)
	Player: Opponent: 51,83% (G:22,52% B:2,74%) 48,17% (G:11,40% B:0,52%) Conf.: ± 0,015 (-0,059...-0,029) - [0,0%] Duration: 13 minutes 27 seconds
6.	Rollout2	24/21 6/5	eq: -0,049 (-0,052)
	Player: Opponent: 51,54% (G:21,60% B:2,50%) 48,46% (G:11,19% B:0,56%) Conf.: ± 0,011 (-0,060...-0,038) - [0,0%] Duration: 13 minutes 28 seconds
7.	Rollout2	24/22 4/3(2)	eq: -0,050 (-0,053)
	Player: Opponent: 50,98% (G:23,99% B:3,11%) 49,02% (G:12,17% B:0,58%) Conf.: ± 0,013 (-0,063...-0,037) - [0,0%] Duration: 14 minutes 22 seconds
8.	Rollout2	24/22 3/2(2)	eq: -0,068 (-0,071)
	Player: Opponent: 49,64% (G:24,76% B:3,26%) 50,36% (G:11,76% B:0,58%) Conf.: ± 0,013 (-0,081...-0,055) - [0,0%] Duration: 13 minutes 37 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10

Messages In This Thread

• Which point to break? #3
  Karol Szczerek -- Saturday, 15 April 2017, at 9:39 p.m.
  • Which point to break? #3
    Sean Garber -- Saturday, 15 April 2017, at 11:42 p.m.
  • Which point to break? #3
    neilkaz -- Sunday, 16 April 2017, at 2:58 a.m.
    • Which point to break? #3
      Stick -- Sunday, 16 April 2017, at 4:02 a.m.
      • Which point to break? #3
        neilkaz -- Sunday, 16 April 2017, at 4:12 a.m.
        • Which point to break? #3
          Stick -- Sunday, 16 April 2017, at 4:15 a.m.
  • Which point to break? #3 - ROLLOUT
    Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 16 April 2017, at 8:57 p.m.
    • Which point to break? #3 - VARIANT
      Karol Szczerek -- Sunday, 16 April 2017, at 10:53 p.m.
    • 4-PLY ROLLOUTS
      Sean Garber -- Sunday, 16 April 2017, at 11:05 p.m.
    • Which point to break? #3 - ROLLOUT
      Timothy Chow -- Monday, 17 April 2017, at 11:25 p.m.