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Midgame 62 - ROLLOUT and VARIANT

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Sunday, 16 July 2017, at 11:26 p.m.

In Response To: Midgame 62 - ROLLOUT (Karol Szczerek)





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
Unlimited Game
pip: 151
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----EbD---dE---b-d---bA-:0:0:1:62:0:0:0:0:10

Original position


1.Rollout113/5eq: -0,096
Player:
Opponent:
48,64% (G:11,50% B:0,45%)
51,36% (G:15,40% B:0,39%)
Conf.: ± 0,009 (-0,105...-0,086) - [100,0%]
Duration: 34 minutes 17 seconds
2.Rollout124/16eq: -0,135 (-0,040)
Player:
Opponent:
48,02% (G:8,78% B:0,38%)
51,98% (G:16,44% B:0,31%)
Conf.: ± 0,009 (-0,144...-0,126) - [0,0%]
Duration: 32 minutes 43 seconds
3.Rollout224/18 13/11eq: -0,218 (-0,123)
Player:
Opponent:
46,02% (G:10,06% B:0,48%)
53,98% (G:18,48% B:0,52%)
Conf.: ± 0,024 (-0,242...-0,195) - [0,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 13 seconds
4.Rollout224/22 8/2eq: -0,246 (-0,151)
Player:
Opponent:
45,27% (G:11,98% B:0,32%)
54,73% (G:19,78% B:0,53%)
Conf.: ± 0,027 (-0,273...-0,219) - [0,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 22 seconds
5.Rollout224/18 8/6eq: -0,259 (-0,163)
Player:
Opponent:
45,50% (G:9,66% B:0,46%)
54,50% (G:19,36% B:0,41%)
Conf.: ± 0,027 (-0,286...-0,233) - [0,0%]
Duration: 3 minutes 31 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

2 324 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller


Karol's rollout of his original position is shown above.

Below is a contrasting variant.

Nack





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 156
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 153
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-a----EbBB--dE---b-d---bA-:0:0:1:62:0:0:3:0:10

Variant [Compared to the original, Blue is adjusted by 8(2)/9(2)]


1.Rollout124/16eq: -0.043
Player:
Opponent:
50.05% (G:8.00% B:0.38%)
49.95% (G:13.43% B:0.26%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.050...-0.036) - [100.0%]
Duration: 25 minutes 33 seconds
2.Rollout113/5eq: -0.060 (-0.017)
Player:
Opponent:
49.71% (G:10.60% B:0.43%)
50.29% (G:13.97% B:0.38%)
Conf.: ± 0.007 (-0.067...-0.053) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 28 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 35470494
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

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