It is not the immediate crunching, it is the prolonged problem of the 3 checkers jumping between triple hurdles of the punched 6 prime and the 11 point enemy sentinel. After he enters (30% every roll) he will have a clear plan to watch and hit those 3 runners of ours running in a mine field... If we run from a point when he is on the bar we leave 2 diversified runners. That is why if we break the Bulgarian anchor it is right, but if we run from the 22 point and leave a 23 anchor it is wrong. While he is on the bar and we have 3 prisoners, it is time to break the anchor. Here we even leave a shot from the bar to do so. THE SAYING: with 3 men back and communication problems run from the anchor think about the other one.
My position

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 163 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 126 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=aBbACBC----b-A--bb-bbbAB--:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue to play 64 |
1. | XG Roller++ | 13/3 | eq: -0.519 |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.45% (G:17.10% B:0.72%) 63.55% (G:17.74% B:0.67%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller++ | 22/12 | eq: -0.598 (-0.079) |
| Player: Opponent: | 33.88% (G:15.24% B:0.66%) 66.12% (G:22.49% B:1.26%) | |
|
3. | 3-ply | 22/18 13/7 | eq: -0.650 (-0.131) |
| Player: Opponent: | 32.76% (G:14.37% B:0.56%) 67.24% (G:23.24% B:1.27%) | |
|
4. | 1-ply | 13/7 5/1 | eq: -1.150 (-0.631) |
| Player: Opponent: | 16.43% (G:5.26% B:0.19%) 83.57% (G:36.43% B:2.93%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00
Original position of Sevdo

              
 
              
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0 pip: 163 | Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver | pip: 125 score: 0
Blue is Player 1 | |
XGID=aBbACBC----b-A--bb-bbbBA--:1:-1:1:64:0:0:3:0:10 |
Blue to play 64 |
1. | XG Roller++ | 22/12 | eq: -0.459 |
| Player: Opponent: | 37.89% (G:18.20% B:0.85%) 62.11% (G:21.40% B:1.63%) | |
|
2. | XG Roller++ | 13/3 | eq: -0.537 (-0.078) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.00% (G:16.50% B:0.70%) 64.00% (G:17.66% B:0.62%) | |
|
3. | 3-ply | 22/18 13/7 | eq: -0.518 (-0.059) |
| Player: Opponent: | 36.48% (G:16.62% B:0.78%) 63.52% (G:22.44% B:1.74%) | |
|
4. | 1-ply | 13/7 5/1 | eq: -1.096 (-0.637) |
| Player: Opponent: | 18.11% (G:5.50% B:0.18%) 81.89% (G:33.59% B:2.16%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00