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OTB and RO

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Sunday, 3 September 2017, at 1:41 a.m.

In Response To: TG or not TG? That is the question (neilkaz)

OTB I judged this correctly as I am slightly TG AtS but would cash for $$.

My opp is strong so wimping and cashing or hoping for some sick take doesn't seem best.

I was the one gammoned!





White is PROFLONGHAIR

score: 0
pip: 90
5 point match
pip: 139
score: 0

Blue is NEILKAZ
XGID=-aaBABBB-A---B---AAabcdAc-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 78.407% (G:25.671% B:1.692%) 79.676% (G:23.982% B:2.425%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 21.593% (G:9.279% B:0.379%) 20.324% (G:9.542% B:0.407%)
Cubeless Equities +0.7969 +1.5256
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+1.0215±0.0084 (+1.0130..+1.0299)
Redouble/Take:+1.4722 (+0.4508)±0.0129 (+1.4594..+1.4851)
xg Redouble/Pass:+1.0000 (-0.0215)
Best Cube action: Too good to redouble / Pass
Percentage of wrong take needed to make the double decision right: 4.5%
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 21 minutes 31 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.19.211.pre-release, MET: Kazaross XG2

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