I certainly thought about running with the last two 4's, but opted for the 5-point because, well, it's the 5-point and filling my gaps could be challenging as I try to bear in against the anchor. I'm not surprised to be wrong, but I'm surprised to be wrong by .128, which makes me feel like I'm missing something major. Is it just the value of springing my straggler? Or is it a matter of doing "two good things" rather than a single better thing? Any comments appreciated!
        
 
        
 | | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 159 | Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver | pip: 156
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=---b--E-C---eF---c-c-b--A-:0:0:1:44:0:0:3:0:10 |
| Blue to play 44 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 24/16 13/9(2) | eq: +0.311 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.26% (G:6.65% B:0.22%)
39.74% (G:8.20% B:0.22%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 24/20 13/9(3) | eq: +0.195 (-0.115) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.18% (G:9.89% B:0.37%)
43.82% (G:10.60% B:0.28%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller++ | 13/5(2) | eq: +0.183 (-0.128) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.62% (G:10.74% B:0.35%)
45.38% (G:9.14% B:0.27%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller++ | 13/9(4) | eq: +0.154 (-0.157) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 54.48% (G:10.46% B:0.39%)
45.52% (G:10.39% B:0.30%) | |
|
| 5. | 2-ply | 13/9(2) 6/2(2) | eq: +0.077 (-0.233) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.00% (G:9.94% B:0.30%)
47.00% (G:11.08% B:0.35%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10