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Dropping the free double

Posted By: Neil Robins
Date: Friday, 7 December 2018, at 11:44 a.m.

In Response To: Dropping the free double (Bob Koca)

Is there any opponent at all that you can't expect to give you a better opportunity to drop only one point if the match lasts another few thousand games? That is if/when you actually get cubed.





White is Player 2

score: 2
pip: 163
65 point match
pip: 167
score: 64

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b----E-C---eE---b-db---B-:0:0:1:62:64:2:0:65:10
Blue to play 62
1.XG Roller++8/6 8/2eq: -1.194
Player:
Opponent:
32.89% (G:7.87% B:0.36%)
67.11% (G:25.68% B:2.02%)
2.XG Roller++8/2 6/4eq: -1.390 (-0.196)
Player:
Opponent:
35.78% (G:8.35% B:0.38%)
64.22% (G:24.72% B:2.08%)
3.XG Roller++13/11 8/2eq: -1.545 (-0.351)
Player:
Opponent:
36.58% (G:9.17% B:0.43%)
63.42% (G:22.21% B:1.49%)
4.XG Roller++13/7 6/4eq: -1.689 (-0.495)
Player:
Opponent:
37.59% (G:8.46% B:0.33%)
62.41% (G:21.94% B:1.90%)
5.XG Roller++13/7 8/6eq: -1.729 (-0.535)
Player:
Opponent:
36.72% (G:9.27% B:0.42%)
63.28% (G:20.95% B:1.36%)
6.XG Roller++13/11 13/7eq: -1.865 (-0.671)
Player:
Opponent:
38.86% (G:9.75% B:0.45%)
61.14% (G:20.52% B:1.50%)
7.XG Roller++24/22 8/2eq: -1.916 (-0.722)
Player:
Opponent:
37.40% (G:8.93% B:0.41%)
62.60% (G:22.51% B:1.15%)
8.XG Roller++24/18 6/4eq: -1.943 (-0.749)
Player:
Opponent:
39.26% (G:8.40% B:0.35%)
60.74% (G:23.60% B:1.16%)
9.XG Roller++13/5eq: -2.006 (-0.812)
Player:
Opponent:
39.56% (G:10.10% B:0.42%)
60.44% (G:18.88% B:1.10%)
10.XG Roller++24/18 8/6eq: -2.115 (-0.921)
Player:
Opponent:
39.77% (G:9.26% B:0.41%)
60.23% (G:20.99% B:0.77%)
11.XG Roller++24/22 13/7eq: -2.116 (-0.921)
Player:
Opponent:
39.03% (G:9.20% B:0.41%)
60.97% (G:19.38% B:0.96%)
12.XG Roller++24/22 24/18eq: -2.192 (-0.998)
Player:
Opponent:
41.40% (G:9.15% B:0.40%)
58.60% (G:21.01% B:0.67%)
13.XG Roller++24/16eq: -2.307 (-1.113)
Player:
Opponent:
41.79% (G:9.02% B:0.37%)
58.21% (G:18.89% B:0.67%)
14.XG Roller++24/18 13/11eq: -2.368 (-1.174)
Player:
Opponent:
42.61% (G:9.69% B:0.42%)
57.39% (G:19.17% B:0.81%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.10, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

It might be difficult to play a perfect 0PR game here.

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