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Rollout in progress

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Sunday, 21 June 2009, at 7:24 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout in progress (Rich Munitz)

Seriously though, let's consider:

You are behind on the score in a long race with a lot of contact left. That argues for taking.

If White doesn't hit you on the three and you anchor, you have a monster 3-5 game. If White hits loose and you hit back, you still have a decent game although you will be playing mostly from the roof.

With 4 points open in White's board, you're probably a favorite to make a second anchor here. White has already made his 2 point, so priming variations are mostly out, and even the ace point will do. Getting pointed on is very bad but you will still have opportunities to anchor.

If you don't make a second anchor, you will probably get gammoned, but at least you will still have the 5 point so you won't get closed out and sometimes you will hit an early shot on the mid or make White's bear-in difficult. You are short on checkers in the zone but you have already made your 5 point which gives you some tactical counterplay and will really become formidable if you make your bar.

All in all it looks like one of those sick positions that I'd take and get flagged with a .300 BK meal. OTOH I am becoming more inclined to pass gammonish cubes like this in match play, especially in short matches.

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