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Extended Rollout

Posted By: Stick
Date: Tuesday, 28 November 2006, at 8:14 a.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Stick)

Extended the rollout by 1296 games and basically no change. Done rolling this out, even if they deviate by the full +/- .008 it's still TCTC. Still think something can be learned from this position since 20/15(2) 15/10 8/3 wasn't suggested by anyone.

Match to 25, tied at 0
155
111
Board image courtesy of GO-Figure

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 20/10(2) 0.677
0.9% 20.9% 78.2% 21.8% 2.5% 0.1%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.757 0.007. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 2592 games (equiv. 64207 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
2 R 20/15(2) 15/10 8/3 0.673 (-0.004)
1.1% 22.2% 77.5% 22.5% 2.7% 0.1%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.755 0.008. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 2592 games (equiv. 66876 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.
3 R 20/15(2) 9/4 8/3 0.624 (-0.053)
0.9% 20.2% 76.4% 23.6% 2.7% 0.1%
95% confidence interval: - money cubeless eq.: 0.711 0.022. Rollout settings: Full rollout, 324 games (equiv. 6937 games), played 3-ply (precise), random seed, with race database.

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