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31P/44(um, P?)/D rollout

Posted By: Matt Cohn-Geier
Date: Saturday, 12 May 2007, at 4:31 p.m.

In Response To: Re: So basically... (Stick)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 7, Blue 8 (match to 9 points, post-Crawford play)

Move number 9: White on roll, cube decision?

White163


2O ' ' '2X4X '2X ' ' '3O

2X ' ' '2O5O '3O ' ' '5X

Blue151

Position ID: sM/BATCwZ/ABMA Match ID: MAEgAXAAQAAA

White doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity +0.174(Money: -0.034)
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.000
2.Double, take +1.040 +0.040
3.No double +0.926 -0.074
Proper cube action:Double, pass
Rollout details
WinW gW bg LoseL gL bgCubelessCubeful
Centered 1-cube0.5030.1670.019-0.4970.1990.027 +0.174 +0.926
Standard error0.0020.0040.003-0.0020.0050.003 0.005 0.006
Player Blue owns 2-cube0.5100.2060.035-0.4900.2240.040 +1.040 +1.040
Standard error0.0020.0070.004-0.0020.0060.004 0.009 0.009
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 1064232702 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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