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Long Strong XG RO of 41$11

Posted By: Nack Ballard
Date: Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 5:49 a.m.

In Response To: Long Strong XG RO of 41$11 (neilkaz)

Thanks, Neil, for the table entry correction (to 4-ply 3-ply).

Neil: As for how to play 11 after 41$, to me it seems best to hit unless the score is getting GGish.

Agree -- definitely play N (Near (8/7(2) 6/5(2)) at GG (or close to it). The GNU rollout, though somewhat N-inflated, is [N H28] 5k.

I am also convinced that N is right at DMP: The GNU rollout is [N H17] 10k. Granted, the GNU money rollout of [N H3.5] -- the one currently posted -- is highly questionable. If we figure that bot-amalgamated value from the table is around [H N16], then the GNU-rollout non-hitting bias is 19.5. However, I generally carry over only one-third of a bias from money to DMP (in part because volatility is lower with no cube, and in part because other scores have different checker-playing goals). An adjustment of 19.5 / 3 = 6.5 still leaves N a comfortable lead of [N H10.5]. If you have the time and inclination to verify the superiority of 41$-11N at DMP by doing a rollout on GNU at a higher checker ply or on XG, that would be great :)

Nack

Messages In This Thread

• Long Strong XG RO of 41$11
  neilkaz -- Monday, 23 November 2009, at 9:13 p.m.
  • Long Strong XG RO of 41$11
    Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 1:54 a.m.
    • Long Strong XG RO of 41$11
      neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 3:40 a.m.
      • Long Strong XG RO of 41$11
        Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 5:49 a.m.
      • Long Strong XG RO of 41$11
        Mislav Radica -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 10:10 a.m.
        • Long Strong XG RO of 41$11
          Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 3:16 p.m.
          • DMP RO started and very clear allready
            neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 6:51 p.m.
            • DMP RO Result
              neilkaz -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 8:48 p.m.
              • 21$-11 at GS
                Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 10:25 p.m.
                • Nactation question
                  Petter Bengtsson -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 10:53 p.m.
                  • Nactation question
                    Nack Ballard -- Wednesday, 25 November 2009, at 3:46 a.m.
                    • Thanks for your answer! *NM*
                      Petter Bengtsson -- Wednesday, 25 November 2009, at 12:19 p.m.
                • 21$-11 at GS
                  neilkaz -- Wednesday, 25 November 2009, at 4:13 a.m.
                • 21$-11 at GS..OK starting RO for the 3 plays *NM*
                  neilkaz -- Wednesday, 25 November 2009, at 8:43 p.m.
          • Thx Nack, nice shortcuts *NM* *NM*
            Mislav Radica -- Wednesday, 25 November 2009, at 2:54 p.m.
    • Long Strong XG RO of 41$11
      Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 6:11 p.m.
      • Long Strong XG RO of 41$11
        Nack Ballard -- Tuesday, 24 November 2009, at 6:54 p.m.