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54S-63 at GS

Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 3:03 p.m.

I posted a 1k version of this a while ago. I was surprised by how well $ (Slot 13-4) played considering it was GS.

It was interesting to watch this rollout in progress. $ was ahead after 5k, H (Hit 13-7, 8-5*) was ahead after 10k and R finished in front after 15k. As Nack and Stick keep telling us, short rollouts of opening positions are not reliable.

I may extend this further at some point since it is certainly still TCTC.

I am surprised by the gammons lost by the first three plays. Running, the score thematic play, loses the most gammons. Slotting, the anti-thematic play, loses the least.

54S-63 [R H1 $4 X11 Z11 U37 S43] - 15k

The score (after 0 games) is: GNU_bg 0, user 1 (match to 2 points, Crawford game)

Move number 2: user to play 63

GNU_bg158


2O ' ' ' '5X '4X ' ' '5O

1X ' ' '1X5O '3O ' ' '4X

user167

Position ID: 4PPgASHgc/ABMA Match ID: 8AlPAAAACAAA

# Ply Move Equity
1 R 24/15 -0.4100
0.44970.14710.0207-0.55030.15470.0150 -0.4100 -0.4100
0.00070.00170.0008-0.00070.00060.0007 0.0018 0.0018
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
2 R 13/7 8/5* -0.4111 ( -0.0011)
0.44590.16690.0253-0.55410.15150.0364 -0.4111 -0.4111
0.00080.00170.0009-0.00080.00070.0010 0.0022 0.0022
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
3 R 13/4 -0.4142 ( -0.0041)
0.43580.15750.0206-0.56420.14290.0237 -0.4142 -0.4142
0.00070.00170.0008-0.00070.00060.0008 0.0018 0.0018
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
4 R 24/18 8/5* -0.4211 ( -0.0111)
0.44340.15230.0240-0.55660.15400.0226 -0.4211 -0.4211
0.00070.00170.0009-0.00070.00060.0009 0.0019 0.0019
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
5 R 24/21 13/7 -0.4213 ( -0.0113)
0.42930.15400.0220-0.57070.14000.0223 -0.4213 -0.4213
0.00070.00170.0009-0.00070.00060.0008 0.0018 0.0018
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
6 R 24/21 24/18 -0.4473 ( -0.0372)
0.44240.14250.0217-0.55760.16610.0148 -0.4473 -0.4473
0.00110.00290.0014-0.00110.00110.0011 0.0030 0.0030
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
7 R 24/18 13/10 -0.4530 ( -0.0429)
0.43000.14100.0178-0.57000.15650.0202 -0.4530 -0.4530
0.00110.00280.0013-0.00110.00110.0013 0.0030 0.0030
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

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