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BGonline.org Forums
54S-63 at GS
Posted By: David Rockwell
Date: Tuesday, 29 December 2009, at 3:03 p.m.
I posted a 1k version of this a while ago. I was surprised by how well $ (Slot 13-4) played considering it was GS.
It was interesting to watch this rollout in progress. $ was ahead after 5k, H (Hit 13-7, 8-5*) was ahead after 10k and R finished in front after 15k. As Nack and Stick keep telling us, short rollouts of opening positions are not reliable.
I may extend this further at some point since it is certainly still TCTC.
I am surprised by the gammons lost by the first three plays. Running, the score thematic play, loses the most gammons. Slotting, the anti-thematic play, loses the least.
54S-63 [R H1 $4 X11 Z11 U37 S43] - 15k
The score (after 0 games) is: GNU_bg 0, user 1 (match to 2 points, Crawford game)
Move number 2: user to play 63
GNU_bg 158
user 167 Position ID: 4PPgASHgc/ABMA Match ID: 8AlPAAAACAAA
# Ply Move Equity • 1 R 24/15 -0.4100
0.4497 0.1471 0.0207 - 0.5503 0.1547 0.0150 -0.4100 -0.4100 0.0007 0.0017 0.0008 - 0.0007 0.0006 0.0007 0.0018 0.0018 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 2 R 13/7 8/5* -0.4111 ( -0.0011)
0.4459 0.1669 0.0253 - 0.5541 0.1515 0.0364 -0.4111 -0.4111 0.0008 0.0017 0.0009 - 0.0008 0.0007 0.0010 0.0022 0.0022 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 3 R 13/4 -0.4142 ( -0.0041)
0.4358 0.1575 0.0206 - 0.5642 0.1429 0.0237 -0.4142 -0.4142 0.0007 0.0017 0.0008 - 0.0007 0.0006 0.0008 0.0018 0.0018 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 4 R 24/18 8/5* -0.4211 ( -0.0111)
0.4434 0.1523 0.0240 - 0.5566 0.1540 0.0226 -0.4211 -0.4211 0.0007 0.0017 0.0009 - 0.0007 0.0006 0.0009 0.0019 0.0019 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 5 R 24/21 13/7 -0.4213 ( -0.0113)
0.4293 0.1540 0.0220 - 0.5707 0.1400 0.0223 -0.4213 -0.4213 0.0007 0.0017 0.0009 - 0.0007 0.0006 0.0008 0.0018 0.0018 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 15552 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 6 R 24/21 24/18 -0.4473 ( -0.0372)
0.4424 0.1425 0.0217 - 0.5576 0.1661 0.0148 -0.4473 -0.4473 0.0011 0.0029 0.0014 - 0.0011 0.0011 0.0011 0.0030 0.0030 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] 7 R 24/18 13/10 -0.4530 ( -0.0429)
0.4300 0.1410 0.0178 - 0.5700 0.1565 0.0202 -0.4530 -0.4530 0.0011 0.0028 0.0013 - 0.0011 0.0011 0.0013 0.0030 0.0030 Full cubeful rollout with var.redn. 5184 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 857636419 and quasi-random dice Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class] keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32 Skip pruning for 1-ply moves. Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
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