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OLM Sa 01/02/10

Posted By: Jason Lee
Date: Saturday, 2 January 2010, at 10:58 p.m.

XGR+ passed the last cube.

The score (after 1 game) is: XG Roller+ 1, BGO Readers 0 (match to 5 points)

Move number 29: BGO Readers on roll, cube decision?

XG Roller+	136
BGO Readers	103
Position ID: nM3BDEBu8xQABg Match ID: cAmgABAAAAAA

• BGO Readers doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.544	(Money: +0.530)
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, pass	+1.000
2.	Double, take	+1.092	+0.092
3.	No double	+0.629	-0.371
Proper cube action:		Double, pass
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.644 0.318 0.005 - 0.356 0.076 0.005 +0.544 +0.629 Standard error 0.001 0.002 0.000 - 0.001 0.003 0.001 0.005 0.009 Player XG Roller+ owns 2-cube 0.652 0.342 0.004 - 0.348 0.080 0.009 +1.405 +1.092 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.000 - 0.002 0.003 0.002 0.013 0.016
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 840417547 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Analyzed in Rollout
No Double
Player Winning Chances:	65.47% (G: 33.80% B: 0.40%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	34.53% (G: 7.21% B: 0.70%)
Double/Take
Player Winning Chances:	65.49% (G: 33.84% B: 0.50%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	34.51% (G: 7.06% B: 0.68%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:	+0.546
Double:	+1.388
Cubeful Equities
No Double:	+0.634 (-0.366)
Double/Take:	+1.104 (+0.104)
Double/Drop:	+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Confidence No Double:	± 0.018 (+0.617...+0.652)
Confidence Double:	± 0.026 (+1.078...+1.130)
Double Decision confidence:	100.0%
Take Decision confidence:	100.0%
Duration: 1 hour 09 minutes 31 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11, MET: GnuBG 11 point

---

Next game...

The score (after 2 games) is: XG Roller+ 1, BGO Readers 1 (match to 5 points)

Move number 3: BGO Readers to play 12

XG Roller+	158
BGO Readers	167
Position ID: 4HPiQSDgc/ABMA Match ID: cImoABAACAAA

Messages In This Thread

• OLM Sa 01/02/10
  Jason Lee -- Saturday, 2 January 2010, at 10:58 p.m.
  • OLM Sa 01/02/10
    neilkaz -- Saturday, 2 January 2010, at 11:04 p.m.
  • OLM Sa 01/02/10
    Joe Russell -- Saturday, 2 January 2010, at 11:20 p.m.
  • OLM Sa 01/02/10
    Seth -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 12:05 a.m.
    • OLM Sa 01/02/10
      lenny -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 12:30 a.m.
  • OLM Sa 01/02/10
    Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 1:14 a.m.
    • Peeking at the database (bot content!)
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 5:34 p.m.
  • OLM Sa 01/02/10
    Jason Lee -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 1:40 a.m.
  • OLM Sa 01/02/10
    Caryl Stephanson -- Sunday, 3 January 2010, at 4:56 p.m.