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BGonline.org Forums
XG RO's match and money
Posted By: neilkaz In Response To: OLM Fr 01/08/10 (Jason Lee)
Date: Sunday, 10 January 2010, at 3:37 p.m.
The several who evaluated this as a pass at score would do well to go over their analysis and see where they underestimated our chances.
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 1574 point match pip: 148
score: 0
is Player 1XGID=-b-B--DAC---cC-b-abcb---B-:0:0:-1:D:0:0:0:4:10 double to 2 take ?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 65.87% (G: 21.23% B: 2.39%) Opponent Winning Chances: 34.13% (G: 10.94% B: 1.26%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 66.46% (G: 21.71% B: 4.29%) Opponent Winning Chances: 33.54% (G: 11.48% B: 1.94%) Cubeless Equities No Double: +0.477 Double: +1.223 Cubeful Equities No Double: +0.771 (-0.137) Double/Take: +0.909 Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.091) Best Cube action: Double / Take Rollout details 7776 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Double: ± 0.012 (+0.759...+0.783) Confidence Double: ± 0.018 (+0.891...+0.926) Double Decision confidence: 100.0% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 56 minutes 14 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11, MET: GnuBG 11 point
Probably not even a money cube !
is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 157Money session
Jacoby Beaverpip: 148
score: 0
is Player 1XGID=-b-B--DAC---cC-b-abcb---B-:0:0:-1:D:0:0:3:0:10 double to 2 take ?
Analyzed in Rollout No Double Player Winning Chances: 66.10% (G: 21.49% B: 1.60%) Opponent Winning Chances: 33.90% (G: 10.49% B: 0.71%) Double/Take Player Winning Chances: 66.43% (G: 21.55% B: 1.72%) Opponent Winning Chances: 33.57% (G: 10.45% B: 0.74%) Cubeless Equities No Double: +0.322 Double: +0.899 Cubeful Equities No Double: +0.665 Double/Take: +0.642 (-0.023) Double/Drop: +1.000 (+0.335) Best Cube action: No Double / Take Rollout details 3888 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves and cube decisions: 3 plyConfidence No Double: ± 0.015 (+0.651...+0.680) Confidence Double: ± 0.019 (+0.624...+0.661) Double Decision confidence: 97.2% Take Decision confidence: 100.0% Duration: 32 minutes 47 seconds eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.11
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