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GNU rollout

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 8:52 p.m.

In Response To: Fogerlund cube ??? ROLLOUT (Leonardo Jerkovic)

Same qualitative conclusion, although considerably different absolute equities. It's more of a no-double than I would have expected.

The score (after 0 games) is: dubrovnik 0, Coolrey 1 (match to 7 points)

dubrovnik	149
Coolrey	124
Position ID: ttkABmSzbTAEUA Match ID: UQngAAAACAAA

• Coolrey doubles

Alert: wrong double ( -0.118)! [very bad]

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.601	(Money: +0.690)
Cubeful equities:
1.	No double	+0.695
2.	Double, pass	+1.000	+0.305
3.	Double, take	+0.577	-0.118
Proper cube action:		No redouble, take (27.8%)
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Player Coolrey owns 2-cube 0.662 0.432 0.036 - 0.338 0.094 0.008 +0.601 +0.695 Standard error 0.002 0.003 0.003 - 0.002 0.003 0.001 0.006 0.011 Player dubrovnik owns 4-cube 0.661 0.449 0.047 - 0.339 0.103 0.014 +1.025 +0.577 Standard error 0.002 0.004 0.003 - 0.002 0.004 0.002 0.011 0.015
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 852547086 and quasi-random dice
Play: supremo 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 16 more moves within equity 0.32
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Fogerlund cube ???
  Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 5:32 p.m.
  • Fogerlund cube ???
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 8:24 p.m.
    • Fogerlund cube ???
      neilkaz -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 9:15 p.m.
      • Fogerlund cube ???
        Timothy Chow -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 11:02 p.m.
        • Oops
          neilkaz -- Saturday, 22 May 2010, at 12:50 a.m.
          • Oops
            Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 22 May 2010, at 1:39 a.m.
          • Oops
            Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 22 May 2010, at 1:51 a.m.
            • Oops
              Timothy Chow -- Saturday, 22 May 2010, at 2:48 a.m.
              • Oops
                Casper van der Tak -- Saturday, 22 May 2010, at 3:15 a.m.
  • Fogerlund cube ???
    Alejandro -- Friday, 21 May 2010, at 9:33 p.m.
  • Fogerlund cube ??? ROLLOUT
    Leonardo Jerkovic -- Saturday, 22 May 2010, at 7:58 p.m.
    • GNU rollout
      Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 23 May 2010, at 8:52 p.m.
      • GNU rollout
        Chuck Bower -- Monday, 24 May 2010, at 6:10 p.m.