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Two more ref pos

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 4:43 p.m.

In Response To: Cube Action? (Max Levenstein)

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 91 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 83 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=aCBBBBB------------ccccbB-:1:-1:-1:D:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	63.798% (G:11.612% B:0.300%)	63.861% (G:11.430% B:0.345%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	36.202% (G:0.875% B:0.009%)	36.139% (G:0.903% B:0.010%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.3862	+0.7717
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.5664	±0.0012 (+0.5652..+0.5676)
Redouble/Take:	+0.5113 (-0.0550)	±0.0056 (+0.5058..+0.5169)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000 (+0.4336)
Best Cube action: No redouble / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 10.1%
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46746902 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 3 minutes 41 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

		White is Player 1 score: 0 pip: 90 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 83 score: 0 Blue is Player 2
XGID=aBBCCC-------------ccccbB-:1:-1:-1:D:0:0:3:0:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout	No redouble	Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances:	77.179% (G:13.607% B:0.333%)	77.508% (G:13.253% B:0.339%)
Opponent Winning Chances:	22.821% (G:0.660% B:0.007%)	22.492% (G:0.721% B:0.008%)
Cubeless Equities	+0.6763	+1.3576
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:	+0.8366 (-0.1634)	±0.0023 (+0.8343..+0.8388)
Redouble/Take:	+1.2111 (+0.2111)	±0.0040 (+1.2071..+1.2151)
Redouble/Pass:	+1.0000
Best Cube action: Redouble / Pass
Rollout details
5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 46746902 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:		100.0%
Take Decision confidence:		100.0%
Duration: 7 minutes 41 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00

Messages In This Thread

• Cube Action?
  Max Levenstein -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 5:00 a.m.
  • Cube Action?
    Stick -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 5:03 a.m.
    • Can we justify a double?
      David -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 5:10 p.m.
      • Can we justify a double?
        Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 5:32 p.m.
      • Can we justify a double?
        Bob Koca -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 5:34 p.m.
        • Can we justify a double?
          Stick -- Friday, 15 July 2011, at 6:47 a.m.
      • Can we justify a double?
        neilkaz -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 8:00 p.m.
      • not 100% on topic
        Christian Plenz -- Friday, 15 July 2011, at 12:09 a.m.
      • Can we justify a double?
        Stick -- Friday, 15 July 2011, at 6:50 a.m.
  • Cube Action?
    Max Levenstein -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 5:09 a.m.
    • Cube Action?
      Stick -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 5:29 a.m.
    • Here's a ref pos
      neilkaz -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 2:41 p.m.
  • Cube Action?
    Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 8:10 a.m.
  • Cube Action?
    Turz -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 11:10 a.m.
  • Cube Action?
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 12:02 p.m.
  • Two more ref pos
    neilkaz -- Thursday, 14 July 2011, at 4:43 p.m.
    • Two more ref pos
      Stick -- Friday, 15 July 2011, at 6:54 a.m.