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OLM We 07/27/11 -- variant RO

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 29 July 2011, at 11:50 p.m.

In Response To: OLM We 07/27/11 (Jason Lee)

Jason has been consistent in rolling out the actual decisions (where my short RO had it a 1.15 pass). If the spare on the 8-point were actually covering the 7-point (meaning White's next full roll can be used for new points/builders), the story is different:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 126
15 point match
pip: 111
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBBBBBC----b-b--bbbb---bB:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:15:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.06% (G:22.59% B:0.85%) 69.08% (G:22.63% B:0.95%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.94% (G:5.94% B:0.21%) 30.92% (G:6.15% B:0.21%)
Cubeless Equities +0.559 +1.134
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.785 (-0.085)±0.016 (+0.769..+0.801)
Double/Take:+0.871±0.020 (+0.851..+0.890)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.129)
Best Cube action: Double / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 19315146
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 19 minutes 09 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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