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BGonline.org Forums
Post-Crawford cube action
Posted By: Chuck Bower In Response To: Post-Crawford cube action (David Rockwell)
Date: Saturday, 6 August 2011, at 7:46 p.m.
If I remember my MEq's... Pass for 68.5%, take and win for 100%, take and lose for 51.5% (banking the free drop). So risk 17% out of the available 48.5%. Takepoint is 17/48.5 = 34/97 ~35%.
Kleinman Count is 6*6/226 and sqrt of KC ~6/15 = 0.4. Multiply by 26.7% and add 50% giving Oreo ~60.5% and thus Lorna ~39.5%. I guess I can be off quite a bit in the memory, assuming I'm doing the arithmetic right.
Take
Since gammons are now virtually non-existant, Lorna can take more deeply than on 2nd/3rd roll.
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