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Rollout - and in normal game

Posted By: Daniel Murphy
Date: Tuesday, 16 August 2011, at 3:29 p.m.

In Response To: Rollout (Stick)

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 3: Blue to play 65

White	125
Blue	117
Position ID: bJuRAxDM3hYIEA Match ID: cAkXAAAAAAAA

• Blue moves 8/2* 7/2

#		Ply	Move	Equity
•	1	R	8/2* 7/2	+0.1097
			0.4498 0.2550 0.0046 - 0.5502 0.1920 0.0199 -0.0527 +0.1097 0.0012 0.0016 0.0003 - 0.0012 0.0020 0.0007 0.0038 0.0095
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 929693842 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	2	R	15/10 9/3	-0.2525 ( -0.3622)
			0.4105 0.1607 0.0079 - 0.5895 0.1335 0.0051 -0.1491 -0.2525 0.0013 0.0015 0.0003 - 0.0013 0.0015 0.0003 0.0034 0.0083
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 929693842 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	3	R	15/9 6/1	-0.2835 ( -0.3931)
			0.3916 0.1506 0.0055 - 0.6084 0.1190 0.0041 -0.1838 -0.2835 0.0014 0.0017 0.0003 - 0.0014 0.0016 0.0005 0.0038 0.0098
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 929693842 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
	4	R	23/18 15/9	-0.3614 ( -0.4711)
			0.4038 0.1005 0.0055 - 0.5962 0.1322 0.0053 -0.2238 -0.3614 0.0018 0.0014 0.0004 - 0.0018 0.0017 0.0004 0.0043 0.0114
			Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
			1296 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 929693842 and quasi-random dice
			Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
			keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
			Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
			Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

After pointing and a fan:

The score (after 0 games) is: White 0, Blue 0

Move number 5: Blue on roll, cube decision?

White	127
Blue	106
Position ID: bJuRA0A2exUIEA Match ID: cAkAAAAAAAAA

• Blue doubles

Cube decision
Rollout cubeless equity		+0.5998
Cubeful equities:
1.	Double, take	+0.9587
2.	Double, pass	+1.0000	+0.0413
3.	No double	+0.6214	-0.3373
Proper cube action:		Double, take
Rollout details
Win W g W bg Lose L g L bg Cubeless Cubeful Centered 1-cube 0.6339 0.4053 0.0086 - 0.3661 0.0775 0.0044 +0.5998 +0.6214 Standard error 0.0012 0.0020 0.0002 - 0.0012 0.0012 0.0002 0.0032 0.0081 Player White owns 2-cube 0.6396 0.4166 0.0058 - 0.3604 0.0809 0.0062 +1.2287 +0.9587 Standard error 0.0019 0.0029 0.0005 - 0.0019 0.0017 0.0006 0.0106 0.0159
Full cubeful rollout with var.redn.
731 games, Mersenne Twister dice gen. with seed 929693842 and quasi-random dice
Play: world class 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]
keep the first 0 0-ply moves and up to 8 more moves within equity 0.16
Skip pruning for 1-ply moves.
Cube: 2-ply cubeful prune [world class]

Messages In This Thread

• Falafel Position
  Stick -- Sunday, 14 August 2011, at 8:29 p.m.
  • Falafel Position
    Taper_Mike -- Sunday, 14 August 2011, at 9:56 p.m.
    • Falafel Position
      Casper van der Tak -- Sunday, 14 August 2011, at 10:22 p.m.
      • Falafel Position
        Ben E. -- Monday, 15 August 2011, at 4:59 p.m.
        • Falafel Position
          Casper van der Tak -- Monday, 15 August 2011, at 5:07 p.m.
  • Falafel Position
    Kevin Whyte -- Sunday, 14 August 2011, at 10:41 p.m.
  • Falafel Position
    Mick Dyett -- Monday, 15 August 2011, at 10:23 a.m.
  • Falafel Position
    Udo Moerschbach -- Monday, 15 August 2011, at 12:38 p.m.
  • Falafel Position
    Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 15 August 2011, at 12:59 p.m.
    • Falafel Position
      Daniel Murphy -- Monday, 15 August 2011, at 2:47 p.m.
  • Falafel Position
    Ben E. -- Monday, 15 August 2011, at 3:47 p.m.
  • Falafel Position
    higonefive -- Monday, 15 August 2011, at 4:55 p.m.
  • Falafel Position
    Timothy Chow -- Monday, 15 August 2011, at 5:02 p.m.
  • Rollout
    Stick -- Tuesday, 16 August 2011, at 8:06 a.m.
    • Rollout - and in normal game
      Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 16 August 2011, at 3:29 p.m.