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SHG dice

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 1:32 p.m.

In Response To: SHG dice (W Womack)

You guys are doing a great (and probably nearly thankless) job analyzing all of this. Kudos.

I am not sure that there is a statistical norm for the size of the luck factor, so it makes coming up with a conclusion about this more difficult.

This may be the biggest human misconception when it comes to drawing conclusions of random processes. Without answering this question first, reaching a final answer is near meaningless.

I think it would be pretty cool (but probably branded 'nerdy') to have a contest where contestants were to use their intuition to decide if presented situations deserve a skeptical eye, say using 2 s.d. (or 95% confidence) as a crossover point. I suspect the only criterion which sets apart winners from losers (multiple meanings here :) in such a contest are the time spent studying random processes. The intuition people are born with seems to be pretty worthless, and, IMO, the education system I'm familiar with doesn't help rectify that.

Messages In This Thread

• SHG dice
  Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 19 August 2011, at 8:12 p.m.
  • SHG dice
    W Womack -- Friday, 19 August 2011, at 8:48 p.m.
    • SHG dice
      rew -- Friday, 19 August 2011, at 9:59 p.m.
      • SHG dice
        Michael Petch -- Friday, 19 August 2011, at 10:22 p.m.
        • SHG dice
          Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 19 August 2011, at 10:52 p.m.
        • SHG dice-red and yellow
          Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 19 August 2011, at 10:54 p.m.
    • SHG dice
      Jason Lee -- Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 1:11 p.m.
      • SHG dice
        Michael Petch -- Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 3:46 p.m.
      • SHG dice
        W Womack -- Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 4:11 p.m.
        • SHG dice
          Chuck Bower -- Monday, 22 August 2011, at 4:54 p.m.
          • SHG dice
            W Womack -- Monday, 22 August 2011, at 8:17 p.m.
            • SHG dice
              Chuck Bower -- Tuesday, 23 August 2011, at 2:10 a.m.
              • SHG dice
                Michael Petch -- Tuesday, 23 August 2011, at 6:16 a.m.
                • SHG dice
                  W Womack -- Tuesday, 23 August 2011, at 12:23 p.m.
                  • SHG dice
                    Michael Petch -- Tuesday, 23 August 2011, at 2:16 p.m.
                    • SHG dice
                      W Womack -- Tuesday, 23 August 2011, at 2:42 p.m.
          • SHG dice
            Stick -- Tuesday, 23 August 2011, at 3:30 a.m.
      • SHG dice
        Barry Silliman -- Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 8:15 p.m.
        • SHG dice -- OT (and maybe banned)
          Chuck Bower -- Sunday, 21 August 2011, at 12:09 a.m.
        • SHG dice
          Michael Petch -- Sunday, 21 August 2011, at 7:07 a.m.
          • SHG dice
            Leonardo Jerkovic -- Sunday, 21 August 2011, at 11:51 a.m.
          • SHG dice
            Tom Keith -- Sunday, 21 August 2011, at 12:44 p.m.
            • SHG dice
              Michael Petch -- Sunday, 21 August 2011, at 12:55 p.m.
      • SHG dice
        Timothy Chow -- Sunday, 21 August 2011, at 2:51 a.m.
    • SHG dice
      Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 1:32 p.m.
      • SHG dice
        Bob Koca -- Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 4:31 p.m.
        • SHG dice
          Chuck Bower -- Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 8:08 p.m.
  • SHG dice
    Michael Petch -- Friday, 19 August 2011, at 9:32 p.m.
    • SHG dice
      Leonardo Jerkovic -- Friday, 19 August 2011, at 9:45 p.m.
    • SHG dice
      Michael Petch -- Friday, 19 August 2011, at 9:56 p.m.
  • GG dice similarly lopsided
    christian munk-christensen -- Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 6:48 a.m.
    • GG dice similarly lopsided
      Leonardo Jerkovic -- Saturday, 20 August 2011, at 10:49 a.m.