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Source of XG error?

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Monday, 12 September 2011, at 3:04 a.m.

In Response To: Source of XG error? (Dmitriy Obukhov)

Me, too! I get the same 0.9995 figure that Bob reports. That is better than Dmitriy, but why shouldn't it be 1.0000?

In another weird, late-bearoff situation, Xavier explained that Variance Reduction was screwing things up. In that case, however, all posters reported the same odd result.

Mike





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
7 point match
pip: 25
score: 5

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-CEDaaa-----c----c-e-a----:1:1:1:51:5:0:0:7:10
Blue to play 51

1.4-ply3/Off 1/Offeq: +0.9995
Player:
Opponent:
99.98% (G:99.91% B:0.00%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2.4-ply3/Off 2/1eq: +0.9995
Player:
Opponent:
99.98% (G:99.80% B:0.00%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3.4-ply3/2 3/Offeq: +0.9995
Player:
Opponent:
99.98% (G:99.79% B:0.00%)
0.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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