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This is a take?

Posted By: kruidenbuiltje
Date: Wednesday, 12 October 2011, at 8:44 p.m.

In Response To: This is a take? (RealNick)

Hi,

clearing the 15 blot will give 11% hits

clearing the 11 point will give 2% hits

clearing the 8 point will give 3% hits

clearing the 7 point will give 11% hits

clearing the 6 point will give 11% hits

clearing the 4 point will give 7% hits

clearing the 3 point will give 9% hits

A total of 54% hits. Of course all of these are not winning

the early hits might not because of the 3-blot

the late might not because white has a lot off checkers borne off

But since blue will have a nice prime by then he might use the prime-trick to pick up an extra checker.

All in all a medium winning chance for blue after a hit could well be 50%, giving 27% wins.

When you play this position a 100 times for a dollar a game. You will have (on average) 9,50 dollar extra in your pocket at the end of the evening.

In real life (not in a virtual math life)

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