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8-cube action from CNB Rome Main Champion Semifinal

Posted By: Carlo Melzi
Date: Thursday, 17 November 2011, at 4:49 p.m.

In Response To: 8-cube action from CNB Rome Main Champion Semifinal (neilkaz)

Thanks for the appeciation, Neil. It was me facing the 8-cube here.

OTB I was able to figure my live take point as a little less than 20%, and I gave myself about the same in the game.

Eventually, I opted for a take, but wasn't at all sure about it.

The 1-game rollout went as follows:

63: 14/5 41: bar/20* 52: bar/18 63: 20/14 4/1 66: 18/12/6/off 2/off end of story

Here is the analysis:





White is Carlo Melzi

score: 0
pip: 64
13 point match
pip: 30
score: 2

Blue is Alessandro Rietti
XGID=-BBCC-B----a-----------dhA:2:-1:-1:00:0:2:0:13:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No redouble Redouble/Take
Player Winning Chances: 79,93% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 80,06% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 20,07% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 19,94% (G:0,00% B:0,00%)
Cubeless Equities +0,599 +1,055
Cubeful Equities
No redouble:+0,707 (-0,192)±0,002 (+0,705..+0,708)
Redouble/Take:+0,899±0,003 (+0,896..+0,901)
Redouble/Pass:+1,000 (+0,101)
Best Cube action: Redouble / Take
Rollout details
1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 60593785
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100,0%
Take Decision confidence:100,0%
Duration: 21,8 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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