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BGonline.org Forums
Random thoughts on adjustment of play, PR level and expected win rate
Posted By: Stick In Response To: Random thoughts on adjustment of play, PR level and expected win rate (Timothy Chow)
Date: Friday, 25 November 2011, at 9:45 p.m.
From Christian's mouth I would rate that Mikael is generally a bit better than his strong opposition though not as much that would reflect his 'reckoning' of how many matches he's won over the years. There is also as you kind of noted a big difference in saying 65% or 70% which is why I hate even trying to answer an eye-balling question.
I'm not confusing anything, I don't know enough about stat. sig. to confuse things.
XGR+ is significantly stronger than me, would you like to take the bet on me winning 140 matches out of 200 at those odds? Also, I don't know where you're pulling these numbers when nobody has even mentioned a match length. That has to be an important factor.
Stick
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