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Random thoughts on adjustment of play, PR level and expected win rate

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 25 November 2011, at 10:00 p.m.

In Response To: Random thoughts on adjustment of play, PR level and expected win rate (Stick)

Stick wrote:

Also, I don't know where you're pulling these numbers when nobody has even mentioned a match length. That has to be an important factor.

The match length doesn't matter. I said, suppose that A and B are equally strong. If they're equally strong, then they're equally likely to win any particular match, no matter how long the match is.

The main reason I wouldn't bet 100 million to 1 odds against you winning 140 or more matches out of 200 against XGR+ is that I don't have 100 million dollars, or even 100 million cents, to spare for such things.

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