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OLM Tu 11/29/11

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Wednesday, 30 November 2011, at 5:24 a.m.

In Response To: OLM Tu 11/29/11 (Jason Lee)

The 6 is practically forced. So, I start by moving 13/7. The only alternative is to come out to White's bar point, a play I reject because it gratuitously gives White a 6 to play from the bar.

That leaves four possibilities for the 1.

  • 24/23
  • 10/9
  • 8/7
  • 6/5
White is not threatening anything offensively, so I would pass on splitting the back men in favor of a move on the offensive side of the board.

Moving 10/9 is probably the weakest of them. It does almost nothing for offense. Certain rolls with a 6 would no longer make the 4pt. Instead, similar combinations with a 5 would make it. But 5 is the number that we can use to make the 8pt. Hence, 10/9 duplicates the 51 52 and 54 we might use to make the 8pt.

Leaving blots on the 8pt and 10pt gives White a hit when he rolls 64 62 53 and 44. That seems a small risk for the diversification we get when we play 6/5. Moving 8/7 is safer; it leaves only 64 to hit. But it takes away the nice 5 we have now, and fails to unstack the 6pt.

My vote: 13/7, 6/5

Mike

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