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RO

Posted By: John O'Hagan
Date: Friday, 2 December 2011, at 4:06 a.m.

In Response To: Cube action ATS? (John O'Hagan)

Not quite a cube ATS.

is Player 2

score: 9
pip: 120
13 point match
pip: 118
score: 10

is Player 1
XGID=-a-a--EBCACAb----a-bbbbb--:0:0:1:00:10:9:0:13:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 69.32% (G:7.99% B:0.25%) 69.71% (G:7.76% B:0.36%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.68% (G:5.11% B:0.08%) 30.29% (G:5.05% B:0.19%)
Cubeless Equities +0.468 +1.171
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.760±0.009 (+0.752..+0.769)
Double/Take:+0.731 (-0.030)±0.014 (+0.717..+0.744)
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+0.240)
Best Cube action: No double / Take
Percentage of wrong pass needed to make the double decision right: 9.9%
Rollout details
2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 29 minutes 57 seconds

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.00, MET: Kazaross XG2

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