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OT - Yahtzee Problem

Posted By: kruidenbuiltje
Date: Friday, 16 December 2011, at 9:59 a.m.

In Response To: OT - Yahtzee Problem (Stick)

Hi,

for simplicity let's assume that throwing the second 1 would be a certainty.

The chance for player 1 to throw his bonus yahtzee is 11/36.

Let's also assume the yahtzee is an uncertainty

(by the way, I thought the rule was, that once you have striped the yahtzee you can't throw a bonus yahtzee anymore),

what is the chance of a small straight?

If it's (close to or) bigger than 11/36 player 1 should play for the bonus yahtzee.

Based on my experience playing this game I guess the chance is somewhat over 11/36,

I looked it up on the web and found a probability of a small straight (or better) to be 25/162,

about 16%, lower than i thought,

so player 1 should play for the 1's

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