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OT - Yahtzee Problem

Posted By: Fabrice Liardet
Date: Friday, 16 December 2011, at 10:28 a.m.

In Response To: OT - Yahtzee Problem (Stick)

Yathzee is fun. I don't like the 100-point bonus rule very much and try to avoid it when possible, but at least it makes this problem interesting.

If we go for the Yathzee, we have 11/36 chances of winning the match.

If we go for the one, I will suppose that we always get a second one (because I don't want to compute 5/6 to the eigthth), so the question is whether the opponent will miss the small straight at least 11 time out of 36. I don't know how to compute that, but from playing a bit I would say the probability of throwing a small straight in 3 tries is rather around 75-80%.

So I go for the Yathzee.

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