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OT - Yahtzee Problem - some bot data

Posted By: Stick
Date: Saturday, 17 December 2011, at 1:22 a.m.

In Response To: OT - Yahtzee Problem (David Rennie)

Our next lesson can be yahtzee calculations ;)

First, if the player rolls for aces he will make at least two, which is all he needs, about 77% of the time. This means a whopping 23% of the time he loses immediately. This is a lot higher than most people think.

You make a small straight on average just over 50% of the time. I think between 53-54%. That number you guys are seeing on the web is likely for rolling it in one turn.

Those couple of facts make a staggering change to your guesstimates. A warning again - I just woke up and pulled the numbers from memory but they still should be right. I'll make a more complete post later.

Stick

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