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62 play after D+T -- ROLLOUT

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Friday, 23 December 2011, at 4:51 p.m.

In Response To: What and Why ? (christian munk-christensen)

Good call, CMC. Quite a large difference in (pseudo-cubeless) total wins between the two rather close plays. In fact, pseudo-cubelessly the pointing play comes out ahead. So much for my rule-of-thumb (which may actually be just my MISinterpretation of something Robertie wrote).





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 143
Unlimited Game
pip: 107
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=aB--CBBbAB-Bb-----cbcb-A--:1:-1:1:62:0:0:0:0:10
Blue to play 62

1.Rollout123/17 8/6eq: +0.6253
Player:
Opponent:
73.68% (G:29.34% B:0.29%)
26.32% (G:4.43% B:0.19%)
Conf.: ±0.0066 (+0.6187...+0.6320) - [100.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 36 seconds
2.Rollout18/2 4/2eq: +0.6033 (-0.0220)
Player:
Opponent:
68.74% (G:42.03% B:0.17%)
31.26% (G:5.68% B:0.25%)
Conf.: ±0.0086 (+0.5947...+0.6119) - [0.0%]
Duration: 15 minutes 18 seconds
3.3-ply23/15eq: +0.4714 (-0.1539)
Player:
Opponent:
68.86% (G:26.88% B:0.30%)
31.14% (G:6.08% B:0.24%)
4.2-ply23/17 11/9eq: +0.3137 (-0.3116)
Player:
Opponent:
62.26% (G:29.51% B:0.28%)
37.74% (G:9.17% B:0.48%)
5.2-ply11/5 8/6eq: +0.2765 (-0.3489)
Player:
Opponent:
58.79% (G:31.25% B:0.18%)
41.21% (G:6.60% B:0.25%)
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 49213584
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

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