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Daily Quiz 1/11: GNU 4-ply evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Sunday, 15 January 2012, at 7:16 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 1/11 (Daily Quiz)

The score is: gnubg 3, tchow 5 (match to 7 points)

gnubg125


 '2X2X2X1X2X '1X ' '2O3O

2O2O1O '1X3O2X2O ' ' '2X

tchow110

Position ID: tjXBYAJbnMENAA Match ID: UYnpADAAKAAA

• tchow moves 8/5*/3

Alert: bad move ( -0.061)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 4 13/8 +0.047
  0.611 0.136 0.003 - 0.389 0.088 0.002  
2 4 8/5*/3 -0.014 ( -0.061)
  0.609 0.229 0.009 - 0.391 0.116 0.003  

For money:

gnubg125


 '2X2X2X1X2X '1X ' '2O3O

2O2O1O '1X3O2X2O ' ' '2X

tchow110

Position ID: tjXBYAJbnMENAA Match ID: UQkNADAAKAAA

• tchow moves 8/5*/3

# Ply Move Equity
1 4 8/5*/3 +0.569
  0.609 0.230 0.010 - 0.391 0.120 0.004  
  2 4 13/8 +0.417 ( -0.152)
  0.602 0.084 0.002 - 0.398 0.075 0.002  


GNU inverts the board for some reason, so White is on roll below. Blue can take more deeply ATS than for money, but I underestimated how much difference White's distribution of checkers matters.

The score is: gnubg 0, tchow 1 (match to 5 points)

gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg59


3X3X2X2X1X3X2O ' ' ' ' '

3O2O2O2O2O2O ' ' ' ' '1X

tchow79

Position ID: t20DwAB3WwcEAA Match ID: MAGgAAAACAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.608(Money: +0.610)
 0.806 0.002 0.000 - 0.194 0.005 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, pass +1.000 
2.Double, take +1.053 +0.053
3.No double +0.677 -0.323
Proper cube action:Double, pass

 

Variant:

The score is: gnubg 0, tchow 1 (match to 5 points)

gnubg on roll, cube decision?

gnubg66


2X2X2X2X3X3X2O ' ' ' ' '

3O2O2O2O2O2O ' ' ' ' '1X

tchow79

Position ID: t20DwADbdgcEAA Match ID: MAGgAAAACAAA

• gnubg doubles

Cube decision
4-ply cubeless equity +0.536(Money: +0.537)
 0.770 0.002 0.000 - 0.230 0.004 0.000
Cubeful equities:
1.Double, take +0.863 
2.Double, pass +1.000 +0.137
3.No double +0.654 -0.209
Proper cube action:Double, take

 


I can believe that 23/16 is best but I'm surprised that GNU 4-ply thinks that 16/11 8/6 is a whopper. It would be good to see a rollout here.

The score is: gnubg 1, tchow 2 (match to 7 points)

gnubg198


 '1O ' ' '4X2X3X1O ' '4O

 '2X2O '2X2O '4O1O ' ' '

tchow150

Position ID: 4O0AMGaMeeEREA Match ID: cInqABAAEAAA

• tchow moves 16/11 8/6

Alert: very bad move ( -0.114)

# Ply Move Equity
  1 4 23/16 +0.613
  0.644 0.223 0.010 - 0.356 0.065 0.001  
  2 4 16/11 13/11 +0.579 ( -0.034)
  0.629 0.242 0.013 - 0.371 0.072 0.001  
  3 4 23/21 16/11 +0.553 ( -0.060)
  0.628 0.230 0.012 - 0.372 0.073 0.002  
  4 4 16/9 +0.551 ( -0.062)
  0.628 0.231 0.012 - 0.372 0.069 0.001  
  5 4 23/21 13/8 +0.524 ( -0.089)
  0.622 0.230 0.012 - 0.378 0.074 0.001  
  6 4 23/21 9/4 +0.520 ( -0.093)
  0.622 0.224 0.012 - 0.378 0.083 0.002  
  7 4 9/4 8/6 +0.513 ( -0.099)
  0.615 0.236 0.013 - 0.385 0.083 0.002  
  8 4 16/11 9/7 +0.509 ( -0.104)
  0.616 0.232 0.012 - 0.384 0.075 0.002  
  9 4 13/6 +0.502 ( -0.111)
  0.612 0.240 0.013 - 0.388 0.078 0.002  
10 4 16/11 8/6 +0.499 ( -0.114)
  0.611 0.240 0.014 - 0.389 0.080 0.002  

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