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OT - Football Question bengals ravens

Posted By: Bob Koca
Date: Monday, 16 January 2012, at 3:17 a.m.

In Response To: OT - Football Question bengals ravens (Joe Russell)

Sometimes in backgammon one has an ace to play in a bearoff and instead of calculating probabilities for each play ione can just see which play is better. If they kick the fg, they virtually are required to get a td with a 2 point conversion which would not be much easier than the current attempt for a Td. Let's say something like 40% instead of 30%. The 60 % of time that it is missed they are in big trouble either way so hardly any difference. So is the 30% gain of td insread of fg outweigh the 10% gain of fg instead of nothing assuming a subsequnt 2 pat is successful?

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