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-4-2 cube action RO

Posted By: svilo
Date: Tuesday, 24 January 2012, at 9:05 p.m.

In Response To: -4-2 cube action from today's NIC match (neilkaz)

is Player 2

score: 9
pip: 143
11 point match
pip: 134
score: 7

is Player 1
XGID=--bBBaC-B---cD---B-cbb--b-:0:0:1:00:7:9:0:11:10
on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in Rollout No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 65.89% (G:13.93% B:0.92%) 65.93% (G:14.97% B:2.07%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 34.11% (G:9.05% B:0.26%) 34.07% (G:10.56% B:0.37%)
Cubeless Equities +0.306 +1.037
Cubeful Equities
No double:+0.799 (-0.201)±0.004 (+0.795..+0.802)
Double/Take:+1.037 (+0.037)±0.005 (+1.032..+1.043)
Double/Pass:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Pass
Rollout details
10368 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller
Double Decision confidence:100.0%
Take Decision confidence:100.0%
Duration: 7 hours 06 minutes

OtB I took with disgust the dead cube. I was afraid of a bigger error than the 0.035 equity lost with that take. Then luck came my way and it was over.

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

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