Ha! Been a while since I've blundered this badly. Feels good.
         
 
         
 | | White is Player 1
score: 5
pip: 144 | | 11 point match | pip: 123
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-aBaBBC-B-A-cA---c-cc-Ba--:1:-1:1:42:0:5:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 5/3* 5/1* | eq: +0.446 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.07% (G:35.63% B:1.25%)
40.93% (G:13.59% B:1.01%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 13/11 10/6 | eq: +0.414 (-0.032) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.11% (G:27.25% B:0.68%)
38.89% (G:8.32% B:0.42%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 13/9 10/8 | eq: +0.350 (-0.096) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.15% (G:25.39% B:0.89%)
40.85% (G:8.79% B:0.39%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 13/9 6/4 | eq: +0.335 (-0.111) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.39% (G:25.88% B:0.94%)
41.61% (G:9.76% B:0.52%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 10/4 | eq: +0.333 (-0.113) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.28% (G:25.79% B:1.07%)
41.72% (G:9.61% B:0.51%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | 13/7 | eq: +0.296 (-0.149) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 57.14% (G:25.19% B:0.85%)
42.86% (G:10.22% B:0.52%) | |
|
| 7. | XG Roller+ | 13/11 6/2 | eq: +0.257 (-0.189) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.43% (G:23.35% B:0.67%)
43.57% (G:10.24% B:0.58%) | |
|
| 8. | XG Roller+ | 22/16 | eq: +0.236 (-0.210) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.85% (G:21.60% B:1.75%)
43.15% (G:15.06% B:1.53%) | |
|
| 9. | XG Roller+ | 22/18 13/11 | eq: +0.222 (-0.224) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 56.07% (G:22.35% B:1.27%)
43.93% (G:14.73% B:1.40%) | |
|
| 10. | XG Roller+ | 22/18 10/8 | eq: +0.197 (-0.249) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.64% (G:20.53% B:1.27%)
44.36% (G:13.92% B:0.88%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
For money:
| | White is Player 1
score: 0
pip: 144 | Money session
Jacoby | pip: 123
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-aBaBBC-B-A-cA---c-cc-Ba--:1:-1:1:42:0:0:1:0:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 13/11 10/6 | eq: +0.271 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.96% (G:26.99% B:0.73%)
39.04% (G:8.16% B:0.40%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 5/3* 5/1* | eq: +0.256 (-0.016) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.05% (G:35.69% B:1.23%)
40.95% (G:13.26% B:0.93%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 13/9 10/8 | eq: +0.201 (-0.071) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.96% (G:25.26% B:0.87%)
41.04% (G:8.73% B:0.39%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 10/4 | eq: +0.181 (-0.090) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.26% (G:25.84% B:1.07%)
41.74% (G:9.43% B:0.49%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 13/9 6/4 | eq: +0.170 (-0.101) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 58.04% (G:25.54% B:0.92%)
41.96% (G:9.64% B:0.49%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21
Variant:
| | White is Player 1
score: 5
pip: 144 | | 11 point match | pip: 126
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-aBaBBC-B---cB---c-cc-Ba--:1:-1:1:42:0:5:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 42 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 5/3* 5/1* | eq: +0.457 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 60.14% (G:33.89% B:1.13%)
39.86% (G:11.72% B:0.69%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 8/6 8/4 | eq: +0.406 (-0.052) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 61.25% (G:26.78% B:0.67%)
38.75% (G:9.71% B:0.44%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 22/16 | eq: +0.403 (-0.055) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.22% (G:22.10% B:1.31%)
36.78% (G:10.32% B:0.46%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 13/11 13/9 | eq: +0.377 (-0.080) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 59.78% (G:26.75% B:0.89%)
40.22% (G:9.29% B:0.44%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
Truncated rollout:
  
  
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 80 | | 11 point match | pip: 103
score: 5
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aABBBBBB-----a-----b-cceB-:1:1:1:00:5:0:0:11:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in Rollout |
| No Double |
| Player Winning Chances: | 83.21% (G: 25.06% B: 0.68%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 16.79% (G: 2.70% B: 0.12%) |
| Double/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 83.49% (G: 24.83% B: 0.68%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 16.51% (G: 2.74% B: 0.12%) |
| |
| Cubeless Equities |
| No Redouble: | +0.866 |
| Redouble: | +1.327 |
| |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No Redouble: | +0.908 (-0.092) |
| Redouble/Take: | +1.001 (+0.001) |
| Redouble/Drop: | +1.000 |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Drop |
| |
| Rollout details |
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply |
| |
| Confidence No Redouble: | ± 0.007 (+0.901...+0.915) |
| Confidence Redouble: | ± 0.018 (+0.983...+1.019) |
| |
| Double Decision confidence: | 100.0% |
| Take Decision confidence: | 53.9% |
| |
| Duration: 1 minute 29 seconds |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
I considered 6/4 5/4 for a nanosecond before rejecting it.
 
  
| | White is Player 1
score: 9
pip: 156 | | 11 point match | pip: 95
score: 0
Blue is Player 2 |
|
| XGID=-BBc-CBB-B--b-bB-a-d-b-a--:1:-1:1:21:0:9:0:11:10 |
| Blue to play 21 |
| 1. | XG Roller+ | 6/4 5/4 | eq: +0.588 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 68.42% (G:17.43% B:0.41%)
31.58% (G:5.37% B:0.21%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller+ | 7/6 7/5 | eq: +0.563 (-0.025) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 66.81% (G:18.02% B:0.43%)
33.19% (G:4.55% B:0.16%) | |
|
| 3. | XG Roller+ | 7/4 | eq: +0.546 (-0.042) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 64.67% (G:19.93% B:0.53%)
35.33% (G:7.88% B:0.36%) | |
|
| 4. | XG Roller+ | 9/6 | eq: +0.538 (-0.050) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 65.37% (G:18.25% B:0.45%)
34.63% (G:5.86% B:0.21%) | |
|
| 5. | XG Roller+ | 15/13 5/4 | eq: +0.522 (-0.066) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.51% (G:19.61% B:0.68%)
36.49% (G:8.90% B:0.46%) | |
|
| 6. | XG Roller+ | 9/7 5/4 | eq: +0.520 (-0.068) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.96% (G:19.11% B:0.46%)
36.04% (G:8.01% B:0.32%) | |
|
| 7. | XG Roller+ | 9/8 9/7 | eq: +0.480 (-0.108) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.37% (G:16.96% B:0.34%)
36.63% (G:6.37% B:0.22%) | |
|
| 8. | XG Roller+ | 5/2 | eq: +0.461 (-0.127) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 63.52% (G:15.26% B:0.30%)
36.48% (G:5.55% B:0.20%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross