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How do you play 4-4 and Why?

Posted By: pontiac
Date: Wednesday, 1 February 2012, at 7:51 a.m.

In Response To: How do you play 4-4 and Why? (Daniel Murphy)

interestingly 8-4 for last 4 is blunder. I think 3 spares are not enough while she have borne off 5 checkers.

		White is XG Roller+ score: 3 pip: 40 7 point match pip: 87 score: 2 Blue is pontiac
XGID=aB-CABC-B----A-A------bbe-:1:1:1:44:2:3:0:7:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	15/11 13/5 8/4	eq: +0,817
	Player: Opponent: 65,08% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 34,92% (G:2,68% B:0,03%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,814...+0,820) - [100,0%] Duration: 48,5 seconds
2.	Rollout2	15/11 13/9 8/4(2)	eq: +0,718 (-0,100)
	Player: Opponent: 63,12% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 36,88% (G:1,00% B:0,02%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,715...+0,721) - [0,0%] Duration: 43,7 seconds
1 3384 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 23928234 First 4 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply 2 3744 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 23928234 First 4 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

2) while she have borne off 4 checkers both plays are equal.

		White is XG Roller+ score: 3 pip: 42 7 point match pip: 87 score: 2 Blue is pontiac
XGID=aB-CABC-B----A-A------bce-:1:1:1:44:2:3:0:7:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	15/11 13/9 8/4(2)	eq: +0,879
	Player: Opponent: 68,41% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 31,59% (G:0,69% B:0,01%) Conf.: ± 0,003 (+0,876...+0,882) - [62,7%] Duration: 5,9 seconds
2.	Rollout1	15/11 13/5 8/4	eq: +0,878 (0,000)
	Player: Opponent: 69,81% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 30,19% (G:1,30% B:0,01%) Conf.: ± 0,001 (+0,877...+0,879) - [37,3%] Duration: 3,2 seconds
1 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 23892843 First 4 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

3) while 3 checkers borne off. conservative 8-4 is better.

		White is XG Roller+ score: 3 pip: 44 7 point match pip: 87 score: 2 Blue is pontiac
XGID=aB-CABC-B----A-A------bde-:1:1:1:44:2:3:0:7:10
Blue to play 44

1.	Rollout1	15/11 13/9 8/4(2)	eq: +0,917
	Player: Opponent: 74,05% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 25,95% (G:0,42% B:0,00%) Conf.: ± 0,001 (+0,916...+0,918) - [100,0%] Duration: 1,7 seconds
2.	Rollout1	15/11 13/5 8/4	eq: +0,883 (-0,034)
	Player: Opponent: 74,85% (G:0,00% B:0,00%) 25,15% (G:0,85% B:0,01%) Conf.: ± 0,001 (+0,883...+0,884) - [0,0%] Duration: 5,4 seconds
1 2592 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 23892843 First 4 moves and cube decisions: 3-ply Remaining moves: 3-ply Red, cube decisions: 3-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

• How do you play 4-4 and Why?
  pontiac -- Monday, 30 January 2012, at 4:19 p.m.
  • How do you play 4-4 and Why?
    Michael Depreli -- Monday, 30 January 2012, at 4:53 p.m.
    • How do you play 4-4 and Why?
      pontiac -- Tuesday, 31 January 2012, at 10:45 a.m.
      • How do you play 4-4 and Why?
        Michael Depreli -- Tuesday, 31 January 2012, at 11:36 a.m.
        • How do you play 4-4 and Why?
          Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 31 January 2012, at 5:25 p.m.
          • How do you play 4-4 and Why?
            pontiac -- Wednesday, 1 February 2012, at 7:51 a.m.
            • How do you play 4-4 and Why?
              Daniel Murphy -- Wednesday, 1 February 2012, at 8:38 a.m.
            • How do you play 4-4 and Why?
              Stick -- Wednesday, 1 February 2012, at 9:06 a.m.
              • How do you play 4-4 and Why?
                pontiac -- Wednesday, 1 February 2012, at 10:28 a.m.