[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums

Tough cube in Pittsburgh chouette

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Saturday, 18 February 2012, at 4:33 p.m.

In Response To: Tough cube in Pittsburgh chouette (Dmitriy Obukhov)

I don't think Blue is much of a favorite to win this game. He looks to be a cubeless fav to me, but White has tremendous recube vig here since it will be a borderline drop/take at some point when Blue is closed out and that will happen A LOT of the time, since sooner or later Blue will get primed when hit and hit again.

That being said, Blue very often wins a G when he wins and then there's the occ. BG. There are a few jokers for Blue like 64,66,44 and it is possible that White misses at some point.

Humans play BG and some may pass here, not wanting to lose 32 pts even if it is the easy take it seems to be. Humans play BG, and the chances of them playing White perfectly in a chouette setting are next to none. White can give up significant equity from here and almost certainly will give up some unless he can't hit and gets instantly G'd.

High volatility a scary position that can be missplayed and who the hell knows what is really going on? "Some people thought NRD/T, others RD/P."

This all means to me that it is absolutely pathetic to not recube this. Possibly it is technically no recube, but there's some chance to get a pass and long before White wins he may be pissing away .02 or more on many plays.

R/ easy T and I think it likely is even technically a R.

Messages In This Thread

 

Post Response
Your Name:
Your E-Mail Address:
Subject:
Message:

If necessary, enter your password below:

Password:
 

 

[ View Thread ] [ Post Response ] [ Return to Index ] [ Read Prev Msg ] [ Read Next Msg ]

BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.