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BGonline.org Forums
PR and Winning: Naive Question
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: PR and Winning: Naive Question (RobertFontaine)
Date: Saturday, 10 March 2012, at 12:41 a.m.
does improving Performance Rating correlate well with improving Winning Chances?
I'd recommend that you don't think of PR in this way. Think of it as a tool for helping you improve your understanding of the game.
XG admonishes us for technically late cubes fairly dramatically does cubing using XG's assumptions result in a higher or lower win rate for an intermediate/advanced player on average?
Paul Money has some good comments about this on his blog. (Google "dorbel daily.") I'd say that aggressive cubing is a must at the intermediate/advanced level. The first reason is that your opponent might drop. If you're a habitually late doubler, and you now start cubing more aggressively, I think you will be astonished at how many of your doubles are dropped. By not cubing, you are declining many potential opportunities to collect a point for free, and are electing to earn the point the hard way.
The second reason is that your opponent might not know when to redouble. Even if your cube is technically a little early, you might regain that lost equity if your opponent donks up the recube decision.
The third reason is that if you're too cautious with the cube then you'll be collecting only 1 point for games where you should be collecting 4 points (double, take, win a gammon). Those 4-pointers have a strong psychological effect on your opponent.
I was thinking that I could easily improve my dreadful PR in most matches by chucking the cube at my opponent on the first roll and stop getting dinged for late cubes.
You could do this, and it might improve your results. But ultimately this is the wrong attitude because you're not doing anything to improve your understanding of the cube by adopting this strategy.
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