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42P-64P-53 ***Rollouts for Money and AtS ***

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Sunday, 11 March 2012, at 3:52 a.m.

In Response To: 42P-64P-53 — Here we go again... (Taper_Mike)


Summary: 42P-64P-53

As predicted by Nack, for the sequence 42P-xxx-53, S (Split) is correct in a money game, unless some obvious exigency diverts Blue’s attention. That is true in general, and also true for this position. P (Point) is correct at gammon-go.

Money [S P28 D31] "<=5
Double Match Point d[S D17 P18] "<=5
Gammon Go g[P S26 D35 $66] "<=5
Gammon Save s[S P17 D20] "<=5

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


Money: 42P-64P-53 [S P28 D31] "<=5





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
Unlimited Game
Jacoby Beaver
pip: 161
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--B-D-B---eE---b-d---bB-:0:0:1:53:0:0:3:0:10
Blue to play 53
1.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: +0.2459
Player:
Opponent:
55.89% (G:17.82% B:0.97%)
44.11% (G:13.36% B:0.49%)
Conf.: ±0.0075 (+0.2384...+0.2534) - [100.0%]
Duration: 29 minutes 28 seconds
2.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: +0.2183 (-0.0276)
Player:
Opponent:
54.88% (G:19.79% B:1.00%)
45.12% (G:14.07% B:0.85%)
Conf.: ±0.0077 (+0.2106...+0.2260) - [0.0%]
Duration: 26 minutes 45 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: +0.2146 (-0.0314)
Player:
Opponent:
55.04% (G:18.67% B:0.92%)
44.96% (G:13.88% B:0.77%)
Conf.: ±0.0079 (+0.2067...+0.2225) - [0.0%]
Duration: 28 minutes 52 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 23941273
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


Double Match Point: 42P-64P-53 d[S D17 P18] "<=5





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
1 point match
pip: 161
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--B-D-B---eE---b-d---bB-:0:0:1:53:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 53
1.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: +0.1193
Player:
Opponent:
55.97% (G:19.85% B:3.06%)
44.03% (G:14.09% B:1.34%)
Conf.: ±0.0027 (+0.1166...+0.1220) - [100.0%]
Duration: 24 minutes 54 seconds
2.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: +0.1027 (-0.0166)
Player:
Opponent:
55.14% (G:19.70% B:2.72%)
44.86% (G:15.37% B:2.10%)
Conf.: ±0.0027 (+0.1000...+0.1054) - [0.0%]
Duration: 23 minutes 55 seconds
3.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: +0.1011 (-0.0182)
Player:
Opponent:
55.05% (G:21.21% B:3.48%)
44.95% (G:15.63% B:2.48%)
Conf.: ±0.0027 (+0.0984...+0.1038) - [0.0%]
Duration: 22 minutes 27 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 23941273
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


Gammon Go: 42P-64P-53 g[P S26 D35 $66] "<=5





White is Player 2

score: 1
pip: 157
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 161
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--B-D-B---eE---b-d---bB-:0:0:1:53:0:1:1:2:10
Blue to play 53
1.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: +0.5104
Player:
Opponent:
55.33% (G:20.20% B:2.26%)
44.67% (G:16.10% B:2.80%)
Conf.: ±0.0040 (+0.5064...+0.5144) - [100.0%]
Duration: 18 minutes 30 seconds
2.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: +0.4846 (-0.0259)
Player:
Opponent:
56.25% (G:17.98% B:2.35%)
43.75% (G:15.19% B:1.36%)
Conf.: ±0.0038 (+0.4808...+0.4884) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 15 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: +0.4754 (-0.0350)
Player:
Opponent:
55.50% (G:18.27% B:2.32%)
44.50% (G:15.57% B:2.52%)
Conf.: ±0.0038 (+0.4716...+0.4792) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 21 seconds
4.Rollout113/5eq: +0.4444 (-0.0661)
Player:
Opponent:
53.92% (G:18.30% B:1.80%)
46.08% (G:17.40% B:3.27%)
Conf.: ±0.0040 (+0.4403...+0.4484) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 47 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 23941273
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


Gammon Save: 42P-64P-53 s[S P17 D20] "<=5





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 157
2 point match
Crawford
pip: 161
score: 1

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-b--B-D-B---eE---b-d---bB-:0:0:1:53:1:0:1:2:10
Blue to play 53
1.Rollout124/21 13/8eq: -0.1644
Player:
Opponent:
55.23% (G:19.86% B:4.06%)
44.77% (G:13.45% B:0.93%)
Conf.: ±0.0037 (-0.1681...-0.1607) - [100.0%]
Duration: 21 minutes 54 seconds
2.Rollout18/3 6/3eq: -0.1810 (-0.0166)
Player:
Opponent:
54.38% (G:20.98% B:3.45%)
45.62% (G:13.43% B:2.13%)
Conf.: ±0.0038 (-0.1848...-0.1772) - [0.0%]
Duration: 19 minutes 17 seconds
3.Rollout113/10 13/8eq: -0.1842 (-0.0198)
Player:
Opponent:
54.25% (G:20.26% B:2.81%)
45.75% (G:13.46% B:1.66%)
Conf.: ±0.0038 (-0.1880...-0.1805) - [0.0%]
Duration: 20 minutes 27 seconds
1 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 4288594
Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.01, MET: Kazaross XG2

Summary Money DMP GG GS Explanation of nacbracs


This is the third time around with this message format. I think I have gotten the kinks out. If you would like a copy of the template I am using, please drop me a line by email.

Mike

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