| |
BGonline.org Forums
New Baffle box at local tournament
Posted By: Jason Lee In Response To: New Baffle box at local tournament (Chuck Bower)
Date: Monday, 12 March 2012, at 11:59 p.m.
JLee: No way. Cups, or no baffle box. This is nonnegotiable.
Chuck: OK, even though you (Jason) are a friend and a very integral person, you're also a scientist (and even if you weren't I would hold you to that standard). You can't just make a dogmatic statement without some of us calling you on it. I'm sure you have your reasons but leaving them out is (IM book) unacceptable. Please justify.
Fair enough.
Before I get to *my* justification, Stick pointed out good reasons for not allowing people to handle the dice in another thread. I was too naive to consider the possibility of dice mechanics swapping out dice.
I have another thought, which is that I am hypothesizing the that if one sets the dice together in the exact same configuration (same numbers pointing in the same direction) and then carefully drops them into the baffle box, that there is a possibility of a higher than 1/6 chance of rolling doubles.
If you saw somebody setting the dice 66 up every time, and your opponent rolled three doubles in a race, do you think you might... wonder?
Be sure you understand: I'm not saying one would be able to affect these probabilities, merely that it might be possible. To avoid any possibility of accusations of impropriety, dice should be rolled into the baffle box out of a cup, so that one could not directly affect the orientation of the dice coming out of the cup.
I have enough BS to worry about when playing backgammon against people who have barely read the rules -- I don't want to start worrying about whether or not the dice that are being rolled are actually random.
JLee
| |
BGonline.org Forums is maintained by Stick with WebBBS 5.12.