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cubing as an underdog

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 5:11 p.m.

In Response To: cubing as an underdog (Bob Koca)

Easy enough even back then. My opp was a good player (for those times) with a masters in math and a teacher at a local girls school.

We could count in 36ths. No question as to what the ME's were except for -1-2C after I cube and lose so I asked my opp what percentage of games end in G's and he replied that he thought about 20-25%. I used 20% telling him that this conservative number was good for him. This meant that -1-2C was 30%....so..

After cubing I win 17 + (.3 x 19) matches or 22.7

After rolling I win 17 x .75 = 12.75 + 1/2 x 19 totalling 22.25 matches.

Most players back then in this circle (or any other) couldn't have come close to understanding the above, but this opp had no problem with it. I then further explained that by cubing I am risking 20 to gain 25 on a 17-19 shot.

Of course using the bot rolled out figure for 1-2C it is even more correct to cube.

I did give him a few of the beers. .. neilkaz ..

Messages In This Thread

• Starting to use clocks at local level
  KenB -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 3:56 p.m.
  • Starting to use clocks at local level
    Stick -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 4:11 p.m.
    • Starting to use clocks at local level
      KenB -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 4:44 p.m.
      • Starting to use clocks at local level
        David Levy -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 6:15 p.m.
        • Starting to use clocks at local level
          KenB -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 2:18 a.m.
        • Starting to use clocks at local level
          TarHeelFan -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 12:05 p.m.
  • Starting to use clocks at local level
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 4:22 p.m.
    • Starting to use clocks at local level
      Tom Keith -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 7:05 p.m.
  • Starting to use clocks at local level
    Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 11:54 p.m.
    • cubing as an underdog
      KenB -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 1:10 a.m.
      • cubing as an underdog
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 3:24 p.m.
        • cubing as an underdog
          Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 4:02 p.m.
          • cubing as an underdog
            neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 5:11 p.m.
            • cubing as an underdog
              pontiac -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 5:34 p.m.
              • cubing as an underdog
                neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 5:56 p.m.
        • or even more extreme
          Michael Nielsen -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 7:44 p.m.
          • I get something different
            neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 7:57 p.m.
            • Score Difference.
              TarHeelFan -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 8:02 p.m.
              • Interesting progression
                KenB -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 8:24 p.m.
              • Score Difference oops
                neilkaz -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 4:16 p.m.
          • or even more extreme
            pontiac -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 7:17 a.m.
            • or even more extreme
              Michael Nielsen -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 11:16 a.m.
              • or even more extreme
                pontiac -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 11:35 a.m.
                • or even more extreme
                  Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 11:42 a.m.
                  • or even more extreme
                    Michael Nielsen -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 11:52 a.m.
                  • or even more extreme
                    Gregg Cattanach -- Monday, 2 April 2012, at 1:17 p.m.
  • Is there a good place to play online with clocks?
    MandM1951 -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 8:54 p.m.
    • Is there a good place to play online with clocks?
      Stick -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 9:02 p.m.