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cubing as an underdog

Posted By: neilkaz
Date: Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 5:56 p.m.

In Response To: cubing as an underdog (pontiac)

20% was always low for G%. I thought 25% was closer to the truth. Back then people played lots of backgames but didn't bear off aggressively enough for the G. At some point in the 70's someone asked Magriel what percentage of games he thought ended in G's and he offhandedly said maybe 20% and that figure became gospel for MET's for a long time. I thought it was a bit low and kept track of G% in over 500 cubeless (G's counted) games I played vs grandma and dad it the figure was 27%. Anyhow..my own MET at that time used 31% for -1-2C.

As for OTB math, for cubing with that 43 at 2a3a, I didn't do any since I knew the position but it was trivial to see that I was risking 20% (MET using 30% for -1-2C) to gain 25% on a one shot situation with 17 to 19 odds.

Messages In This Thread

• Starting to use clocks at local level
  KenB -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 3:56 p.m.
  • Starting to use clocks at local level
    Stick -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 4:11 p.m.
    • Starting to use clocks at local level
      KenB -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 4:44 p.m.
      • Starting to use clocks at local level
        David Levy -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 6:15 p.m.
        • Starting to use clocks at local level
          KenB -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 2:18 a.m.
        • Starting to use clocks at local level
          TarHeelFan -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 12:05 p.m.
  • Starting to use clocks at local level
    Daniel Murphy -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 4:22 p.m.
    • Starting to use clocks at local level
      Tom Keith -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 7:05 p.m.
  • Starting to use clocks at local level
    Taper_Mike -- Tuesday, 27 March 2012, at 11:54 p.m.
    • cubing as an underdog
      KenB -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 1:10 a.m.
      • cubing as an underdog
        neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 3:24 p.m.
        • cubing as an underdog
          Bob Koca -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 4:02 p.m.
          • cubing as an underdog
            neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 5:11 p.m.
            • cubing as an underdog
              pontiac -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 5:34 p.m.
              • cubing as an underdog
                neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 5:56 p.m.
        • or even more extreme
          Michael Nielsen -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 7:44 p.m.
          • I get something different
            neilkaz -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 7:57 p.m.
            • Score Difference.
              TarHeelFan -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 8:02 p.m.
              • Interesting progression
                KenB -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 8:24 p.m.
              • Score Difference oops
                neilkaz -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 4:16 p.m.
          • or even more extreme
            pontiac -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 7:17 a.m.
            • or even more extreme
              Michael Nielsen -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 11:16 a.m.
              • or even more extreme
                pontiac -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 11:35 a.m.
                • or even more extreme
                  Casper van der Tak -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 11:42 a.m.
                  • or even more extreme
                    Michael Nielsen -- Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 11:52 a.m.
                  • or even more extreme
                    Gregg Cattanach -- Monday, 2 April 2012, at 1:17 p.m.
  • Is there a good place to play online with clocks?
    MandM1951 -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 8:54 p.m.
    • Is there a good place to play online with clocks?
      Stick -- Wednesday, 28 March 2012, at 9:02 p.m.