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or even more extreme

Posted By: Michael Nielsen
Date: Thursday, 29 March 2012, at 11:16 a.m.

In Response To: or even more extreme (pontiac)

Never may happen in the middle game. may be could happen at high gammon lose times ?

I assume here you are talking about the reverse score where the trailer is the one considering a cube. In that case then, yeah if he loses a lot of gammons anyway he can often double as a significant underdog.

There are still other positions where the leader can double as an underdog:
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 55
5 point match
pip: 87
score: 3

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-BBBBCB----------a-cBcccb-:0:0:1:00:3:0:0:5:10
Blue on roll, cube action?

Analyzed in XG Roller+ No double Double/Take
Player Winning Chances: 39.64% (G:1.14% B:0.01%) 39.67% (G:1.02% B:0.01%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 60.36% (G:0.90% B:0.00%) 60.33% (G:0.90% B:0.00%)
Cubeless Equities -0.194 +0.004
Cubeful Equities
No double:-0.263 (-0.046)
Double/Take:-0.217
Double/Pass:+1.000 (+1.217)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross


This is nearly a last roll position since blue almost always wins after a hit and is always cubed out after a miss.

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