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Daily Quiz 3/26: XGR+ evals

Posted By: Timothy Chow
Date: Friday, 6 April 2012, at 11:50 p.m.

In Response To: Daily Quiz 3/26 (Daily Quiz)





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 146
21 point match
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a-aBBC-BB--bB-abAbd-b--A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:21:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 69.17% (G: 28.84% B: 1.98%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 30.83% (G: 7.49% B: 0.37%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.618
Double:+1.250
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.835 (-0.165)
Double/Take:+1.032 (+0.032)
Double/Drop:+1.000
Best Cube action: Double / Drop

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Variant:





White is Player 1

score: 0
pip: 148
21 point match
pip: 137
score: 0

Blue is Player 2
XGID=-a-aBBC-BB--bB-abAbdb---A-:0:0:1:00:0:0:0:21:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 67.20% (G: 26.87% B: 1.77%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 32.80% (G: 7.77% B: 0.36%)
Cubeless Equities
No Double:+0.553
Double:+1.124
Cubeful Equities
No Double:+0.767 (-0.119)
Double/Take:+0.887
Double/Drop:+1.000 (+0.113)
Best Cube action: Double / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Truncated rollout:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 150
21 point match
pip: 132
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=-aBaB-CBB--abB--bb-bbbA-A-:1:1:1:42:0:0:0:21:10
Blue to play 42

1.Rollout113/11* 7/3* eq: +0.226
Player:
Opponent:		 47.69% (G:26.27% B:2.15%)
52.31% (G:18.91% B:2.38%)		Conf: ± 0.012 (+0.214...+0.238)
Duration: 2 minutes 27 seconds
2.Rollout17/3* 3/1* eq: +0.222 (-0.005)
Player:
Opponent:		 47.08% (G:28.53% B:1.17%)
52.92% (G:16.79% B:1.28%)		Conf: ± 0.009 (+0.213...+0.231)
Duration: 2 minutes 17 seconds
3.Rollout122/18 13/11* eq: +0.156 (-0.070)
Player:
Opponent:		 46.91% (G:21.38% B:1.68%)
53.09% (G:17.35% B:1.35%)		Conf: ± 0.011 (+0.145...+0.167)
Duration: 3 minutes 24 seconds
1 Truncated at 7 moves using 3 ply.
648 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 2
First 2 moves and cube decisions: 3 ply
Remaining moves: 2 ply, cube decisions: 3 ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross
White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 149
21 point match
pip: 121
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBABBBB---A-A-a-bbcbbA-A-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:21:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 59.50% (G: 27.11% B: 3.00%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 40.50% (G: 9.02% B: 0.53%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.401
Redouble:+0.776
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.584
Redouble/Take:+0.467 (-0.117)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.416)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

Variant:





White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 148
21 point match
pip: 121
score: 0

Blue is Player 1
XGID=abBABBBB---A-A--abbcbbA-A-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:21:10
Blue on roll, cube action?


Analyzed in XG Roller+
Player Winning Chances: 62.42% (G: 32.91% B: 4.21%)
Opponent Winning Chances: 37.58% (G: 7.79% B: 0.42%)
Cubeless Equities
No Redouble:+0.545
Redouble:+1.043
Cubeful Equities
No Redouble:+0.751
Redouble/Take:+0.745 (-0.007)
Redouble/Drop:+1.000 (+0.249)
Best Cube action: No Redouble / Take

eXtreme Gammon Version: 1.21, MET: Rockwell-Kazaross

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