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BGonline.org Forums
Son of “The Return of Jeremy,” Part II *** Rollout ***
Posted By: Timothy Chow In Response To: Son of “The Return of Jeremy,” Part II *** Rollout *** (Taper_Mike)
Date: Monday, 9 April 2012, at 4:23 a.m.
Nice position! But I don't understand your analysis. After any of the three plays, there are two direct cover numbers for the slotted point.
What I think is going on here is that since Blue still has some work to do before he completes his bear-in, getting hit on the 6pt is more painful than it would be if he had already completed (or almost completed) his bear-in. It would be worth thinking a bit about how to test this theory, though.
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