Quite surprised that there was no discussion of that 65 unless they got it right. If you and I were playing there'd not be much discussion either since one of us would rip and the other would say or nod OK or say to rip also.
      
 
       
 | | White is Mochy/Michy
score: 0
pip: 35 | | 9 point match | pip: 52
score: 0
Blue is Rex/Larsen |
|
| XGID=aBBBBDB----------------cd-:1:1:1:65:0:0:0:9:10 |
| Blue to play 65 |
| 1. | XG Roller++ | 6/Off 5/Off | eq: +0.3639 |
| Player:
Opponent: | 55.44% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
44.56% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
| 2. | XG Roller++ | 6/1 6/Off | eq: +0.2927 (-0.0712) |
| Player:
Opponent: | 53.79% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
46.21% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) | |
|
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
After the correct 65 folowed by a dance, then they have a fine recube as expected.
  
| | White is Player 2
score: 0
pip: 35 | | 9 point match | pip: 41
score: 0
Blue is Player 1 |
|
| XGID=aBBBBCA----------------cd-:1:1:1:00:0:0:0:9:10 |
| Blue on roll, cube action? |
| Analyzed in XG Roller++ | No redouble | Redouble/Take |
| Player Winning Chances: | 73.833% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) | 73.818% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) |
| Opponent Winning Chances: | 26.167% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) | 26.182% (G:0.000% B:0.000%) |
| Cubeless Equities | +0.4767 | +0.9892 |
| Cubeful Equities |
| No redouble: | +0.7507 (-0.0619) | |
| Redouble/Take: | +0.8126 | |
| Redouble/Pass: | +1.0000 (+0.1874) |
| |
| Best Cube action: Redouble / Take |
eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2
I suspect some of the issues here may be from missapplying "Robertie's Rule of Five" which honestly works much better when the guy closed out has an ace gap. But here, in these position-types that rule leads to overly safe plays and recubing too early as the leader overestimates his chances.