could be worse -- DMP decision VARIANTS

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could be worse -- DMP decision VARIANTS

Posted By: Chuck Bower
Date: Wednesday, 11 April 2012, at 5:20 p.m.

In Response To: could be worse -- DMP decision ROLLOUT (Chuck Bower)

One checker already borne off 6-point:

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 34

1 point match

pip: 51
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=aBBCBBC---------------c---:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 41

1. Rollout¹ 6/2 1/Off eq: -0.3979
Player:
Opponent: 30.11% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.89% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą0.0030 (-0.4009...-0.3948) - [100.0%]
Duration: 7 minutes 08 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 6/1 eq: -0.4223 (-0.0244)
Player:
Opponent: 28.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
71.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą0.0020 (-0.4243...-0.4203) - [0.0%]
Duration: 2 minutes 16 seconds
3. XG Roller++ 6/2 3/2 eq: -0.4501 (-0.0522)
Player:
Opponent: 27.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.50% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
4. XG Roller++ 5/Off eq: -0.4944 (-0.0966)
Player:
Opponent: 25.28% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
74.72% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
5. XG Roller++ 6/5 4/Off eq: -0.5003 (-0.1025)
Player:
Opponent: 24.98% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
75.02% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 22518720
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Opponent has four checkers on 3-point (instead of three):

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 37

1 point match

pip: 57
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=aBBCBBD---------------d---:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 41

1. XG Roller++ 6/2 1/Off eq: -0.2313
Player:
Opponent: 38.43% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
61.57% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2. XG Roller++ 6/5 6/2 eq: -0.2505 (-0.0192)
Player:
Opponent: 37.47% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
62.53% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3. XG Roller++ 6/1 eq: -0.2592 (-0.0278)
Player:
Opponent: 37.04% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
62.96% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Opponent has two on 3-point and two on 2-point:

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 35

1 point match

pip: 57
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=aBBCBBD---------------bb--:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 41

1. XG Roller++ 6/2 1/Off eq: -0.2795
Player:
Opponent: 36.03% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
63.97% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2. XG Roller++ 6/5 6/2 eq: -0.3387 (-0.0592)
Player:
Opponent: 33.06% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.94% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Opponent has two on 1-point and two on 3-point:

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 33

1 point match

pip: 57
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=aBBCBBD---------------b-b-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 41

1. XG Roller++ 6/2 1/Off eq: -0.3341
Player:
Opponent: 33.29% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
66.71% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
2. XG Roller++ 6/5 6/2 eq: -0.3823 (-0.0482)
Player:
Opponent: 30.88% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.12% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
3. XG Roller++ 6/1 eq: -0.3869 (-0.0527)
Player:
Opponent: 30.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
69.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Opponent has two on 1-point and two on 2-point:

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 31

1 point match

pip: 57
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=aBBCBBD----------------bb-:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 41

1. Rollout¹ 6/5 6/2 eq: -0.4419
Player:
Opponent: 27.91% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.09% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą0.0019 (-0.4438...-0.4400) - [99.8%]
Duration: 1 minute 30 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 6/2 1/Off eq: -0.4460 (-0.0042)
Player:
Opponent: 27.70% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.30% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą0.0021 (-0.4481...-0.4439) - [0.2%]
Duration: 3 minutes 47 seconds
3. Rollout¹ 6/1 eq: -0.4502 (-0.0083)
Player:
Opponent: 27.49% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
72.51% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą0.0020 (-0.4522...-0.4481) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 16 seconds

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 22518720
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Opponent has four on 2-point:

White is Player 2

score: 0
pip: 33

1 point match

pip: 57
score: 0

Blue is Player 1

XGID=aBBCBBD----------------d--:0:0:1:41:0:0:0:1:10
Blue to play 41

1. Rollout¹ 6/2 1/Off eq: -0.3463
Player:
Opponent: 32.68% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.32% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą0.0022 (-0.3485...-0.3442) - [100.0%]
Duration: 4 minutes 41 seconds
2. Rollout¹ 6/5 6/2 eq: -0.3531 (-0.0068)
Player:
Opponent: 32.34% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
67.66% (G:0.00% B:0.00%) Conf.: ą0.0018 (-0.3550...-0.3513) - [0.0%]
Duration: 1 minute 24 seconds
3. XG Roller++ 6/1 eq: -0.3710 (-0.0247)
Player:
Opponent: 31.45% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)
68.55% (G:0.00% B:0.00%)

¹ 1296 Games rolled with Variance Reduction.
Dice Seed: 22518720
Moves and cube decisions: 4-ply

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03, MET: Kazaross XG2

Messages In This Thread

could be worse -- DMP decision
Chuck Bower -- Monday, 9 April 2012, at 11:45 p.m.
- could be worse -- DMP decision
  Timothy Chow -- Tuesday, 10 April 2012, at 12:14 a.m.
  - could be worse -- DMP decision
    Stick -- Tuesday, 10 April 2012, at 9:05 p.m.
- could be worse -- DMP decision
  Casper van der Tak -- Tuesday, 10 April 2012, at 8:29 a.m.
- could be worse -- DMP decision ROLLOUT
  Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 11 April 2012, at 2:41 p.m.
  - could be worse -- DMP decision VARIANTS
    Chuck Bower -- Wednesday, 11 April 2012, at 5:20 p.m.
    - could be worse -- DMP decision VARIANTS
      Casper van der Tak -- Wednesday, 11 April 2012, at 6:19 p.m.
    - could be worse -- DMP decision VARIANTS
      Timothy Chow -- Thursday, 12 April 2012, at 12:39 a.m.

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