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21S-61P-51S-21 *** Rollout ***

Posted By: Taper_Mike
Date: Saturday, 14 April 2012, at 7:20 a.m.

In Response To: Trading the bar point for the 5pt — 21S-61P-51S-21 (Taper_Mike)

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White is Player 2 score: 0 pip: 158 Unlimited Game Jacoby Beaver pip: 160 score: 0 Blue is Player 1 XGID=-a-a--EBB---cDa--d-e----B-:0:0:1:21:0:0:3:0:10 Blue to play 21

1. Rollout1 7/5 6/5 eq: +0.0436 Player: Opponent: 51.02% (G:15.05% B:0.66%) 48.98% (G:14.21% B:0.84%) Conf.: ±0.0048 (+0.0387...+0.0484) - [100.0%] Duration: 1 hour 43 minutes 2. Rollout1 24/21 eq: +0.0116 (-0.0320) Player: Opponent: 50.40% (G:13.06% B:0.56%) 49.60% (G:13.50% B:0.50%) Conf.: ±0.0041 (+0.0075...+0.0157) - [0.0%] Duration: 1 hour 38 minutes 3. Rollout2 6/3* eq: -0.0179 (-0.0614) Player: Opponent: 49.74% (G:14.28% B:0.69%) 50.26% (G:14.72% B:0.83%) Conf.: ±0.0080 (-0.0259...-0.0098) - [0.0%] Duration: 37 minutes 38 seconds 4. Rollout2 24/23 13/11 eq: -0.0229 (-0.0665) Player: Opponent: 49.60% (G:13.66% B:0.59%) 50.40% (G:14.56% B:0.65%) Conf.: ±0.0074 (-0.0303...-0.0155) - [0.0%] Duration: 33 minutes 13 seconds 5. Rollout2 13/10 eq: -0.0382 (-0.0817) Player: Opponent: 49.28% (G:13.98% B:0.63%) 50.72% (G:14.90% B:0.82%) Conf.: ±0.0083 (-0.0464...-0.0299) - [0.0%] Duration: 33 minutes 23 seconds 1 15552 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1241806 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller 2 5184 Games rolled with Variance Reduction. Dice Seed: 1241806 Moves: 3-ply, cube decisions: XG Roller

eXtreme Gammon Version: 2.03

21S-61P-51S-21 – [P U32 H61 S67 D81] – "<=15*5

Anything that does not make the 5pt is wrong. Tim gives links to a couple of nice threads where Nack discusses the pros and cons of this kind of decision. Mike

Messages In This Thread

• Trading the bar point for the 5pt — 21S-61P-51S-21
  Taper_Mike -- Friday, 13 April 2012, at 4:33 a.m.
  • Trading the bar point for the 5pt — 21S-61P-51S-21 and 61P-32Z-21
    Dmitriy Obukhov -- Friday, 13 April 2012, at 5:56 a.m.
  • Links to old posts
    Timothy Chow -- Friday, 13 April 2012, at 5:34 p.m.
  • Trading the bar point for the 5pt — 21S-61P-51S-21
    ah_clem -- Friday, 13 April 2012, at 6:55 p.m.
  • Trading the bar point for the 5pt — 21S-61P-51S-21
    neilkaz -- Friday, 13 April 2012, at 7:24 p.m.
  • 21S-61P-51S-21 *** Rollout ***
    Taper_Mike -- Saturday, 14 April 2012, at 7:20 a.m.